Former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, combined with a upheld seven-year term for obstructing arrest and multiple pending trials, forms the core driver of the 91.8% “No” odds. He has remained in custody since July 2025 amid active appeals and additional proceedings, with no verified pardon, bail, or release orders as of mid-2026. Traders price in extended detention through year-end because South Korean judicial processes for high-profile insurrection cases typically involve lengthy appeals without swift reversal, and no political or institutional developments have signaled an imminent change in his status before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% संभावना
$200,294 वॉल्यूम
$200,294 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
8% संभावना
$200,294 वॉल्यूम
$200,294 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, combined with a upheld seven-year term for obstructing arrest and multiple pending trials, forms the core driver of the 91.8% “No” odds. He has remained in custody since July 2025 amid active appeals and additional proceedings, with no verified pardon, bail, or release orders as of mid-2026. Traders price in extended detention through year-end because South Korean judicial processes for high-profile insurrection cases typically involve lengthy appeals without swift reversal, and no political or institutional developments have signaled an imminent change in his status before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$200,294समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, combined with a upheld seven-year term for obstructing arrest and multiple pending trials, forms the core driver of the 91.8% “No” odds. He has remained in custody since July 2025 amid active appeals and additional proceedings, with no verified pardon, bail, or release orders as of mid-2026. Traders price in extended detention through year-end because South Korean judicial processes for high-profile insurrection cases typically involve lengthy appeals without swift reversal, and no political or institutional developments have signaled an imminent change in his status before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$200,294समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former President Yoon Suk-yeol’s February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, combined with a upheld seven-year term for obstructing arrest and multiple pending trials, forms the core driver of the 91.8% “No” odds. He has remained in custody since July 2025 amid active appeals and additional proceedings, with no verified pardon, bail, or release orders as of mid-2026. Traders price in extended detention through year-end because South Korean judicial processes for high-profile insurrection cases typically involve lengthy appeals without swift reversal, and no political or institutional developments have signaled an imminent change in his status before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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