The constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment creates formidable structural barriers that explain the 97% trader consensus against repeal in 2026. Any change demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures, a threshold that has not been met for a presidential term limit adjustment in modern history. Current congressional composition, divided party control, and lack of bipartisan momentum around extending executive tenure all reinforce this outlook. While unified Republican majorities or a sudden shift in state legislatures could theoretically open a narrow procedural path, such conditions remain absent and face entrenched institutional checks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4% संभावना
$13,141 वॉल्यूम
$13,141 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
4% संभावना
$13,141 वॉल्यूम
$13,141 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment creates formidable structural barriers that explain the 97% trader consensus against repeal in 2026. Any change demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures, a threshold that has not been met for a presidential term limit adjustment in modern history. Current congressional composition, divided party control, and lack of bipartisan momentum around extending executive tenure all reinforce this outlook. While unified Republican majorities or a sudden shift in state legislatures could theoretically open a narrow procedural path, such conditions remain absent and face entrenched institutional checks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,141समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment creates formidable structural barriers that explain the 97% trader consensus against repeal in 2026. Any change demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures, a threshold that has not been met for a presidential term limit adjustment in modern history. Current congressional composition, divided party control, and lack of bipartisan momentum around extending executive tenure all reinforce this outlook. While unified Republican majorities or a sudden shift in state legislatures could theoretically open a narrow procedural path, such conditions remain absent and face entrenched institutional checks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
वॉल्यूम
$13,141समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The constitutional amendment process required to repeal the 22nd Amendment creates formidable structural barriers that explain the 97% trader consensus against repeal in 2026. Any change demands two-thirds majorities in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures, a threshold that has not been met for a presidential term limit adjustment in modern history. Current congressional composition, divided party control, and lack of bipartisan momentum around extending executive tenure all reinforce this outlook. While unified Republican majorities or a sudden shift in state legislatures could theoretically open a narrow procedural path, such conditions remain absent and face entrenched institutional checks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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