Apple's established annual iPhone release cadence drives the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered new hardware models each September for over a decade, featuring upgraded silicon, camera systems, and iOS integration without interruption. Supply chain monitoring and component sourcing patterns through mid-2026 show continued preparation aligned with this timeline. While severe disruptions like widespread semiconductor constraints, major production setbacks, or last-minute regulatory blocks in major markets could theoretically shift outcomes, such events have not derailed Apple's schedule in recent cycles, and traders view them as low-probability risks given the firm's track record.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया99% संभावना
$173,200 वॉल्यूम
$173,200 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
99% संभावना
$173,200 वॉल्यूम
$173,200 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual iPhone release cadence drives the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered new hardware models each September for over a decade, featuring upgraded silicon, camera systems, and iOS integration without interruption. Supply chain monitoring and component sourcing patterns through mid-2026 show continued preparation aligned with this timeline. While severe disruptions like widespread semiconductor constraints, major production setbacks, or last-minute regulatory blocks in major markets could theoretically shift outcomes, such events have not derailed Apple's schedule in recent cycles, and traders view them as low-probability risks given the firm's track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$173,200समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual iPhone release cadence drives the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered new hardware models each September for over a decade, featuring upgraded silicon, camera systems, and iOS integration without interruption. Supply chain monitoring and component sourcing patterns through mid-2026 show continued preparation aligned with this timeline. While severe disruptions like widespread semiconductor constraints, major production setbacks, or last-minute regulatory blocks in major markets could theoretically shift outcomes, such events have not derailed Apple's schedule in recent cycles, and traders view them as low-probability risks given the firm's track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$173,200समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual iPhone release cadence drives the 98.6% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 launch in 2026. The company has delivered new hardware models each September for over a decade, featuring upgraded silicon, camera systems, and iOS integration without interruption. Supply chain monitoring and component sourcing patterns through mid-2026 show continued preparation aligned with this timeline. While severe disruptions like widespread semiconductor constraints, major production setbacks, or last-minute regulatory blocks in major markets could theoretically shift outcomes, such events have not derailed Apple's schedule in recent cycles, and traders view them as low-probability risks given the firm's track record.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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