Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, encompassing Milwaukee and its inner suburbs, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns, with incumbent Gwen Moore securing reelection by wide margins including 74.8% in 2024. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw Moore defeat a Democratic challenger while Republican Tim Rogers advanced, yet the seat's partisan lean and lack of competitive indicators keep Republican prospects minimal. Traders reflect this entrenched advantage in the 98.2% Democratic consensus, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safely Democratic. A late scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter dynamics before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWI -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WI -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$33,516 वॉल्यूम
$33,516 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
98%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$33,516 वॉल्यूम
$33,516 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$12,352 वॉल्यूम
98%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$21,164 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, encompassing Milwaukee and its inner suburbs, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns, with incumbent Gwen Moore securing reelection by wide margins including 74.8% in 2024. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw Moore defeat a Democratic challenger while Republican Tim Rogers advanced, yet the seat's partisan lean and lack of competitive indicators keep Republican prospects minimal. Traders reflect this entrenched advantage in the 98.2% Democratic consensus, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safely Democratic. A late scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter dynamics before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,516समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, encompassing Milwaukee and its inner suburbs, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns, with incumbent Gwen Moore securing reelection by wide margins including 74.8% in 2024. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw Moore defeat a Democratic challenger while Republican Tim Rogers advanced, yet the seat's partisan lean and lack of competitive indicators keep Republican prospects minimal. Traders reflect this entrenched advantage in the 98.2% Democratic consensus, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safely Democratic. A late scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter dynamics before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,516समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 4th congressional district, encompassing Milwaukee and its inner suburbs, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and consistent voting patterns, with incumbent Gwen Moore securing reelection by wide margins including 74.8% in 2024. Recent primaries on August 11, 2026, saw Moore defeat a Democratic challenger while Republican Tim Rogers advanced, yet the seat's partisan lean and lack of competitive indicators keep Republican prospects minimal. Traders reflect this entrenched advantage in the 98.2% Democratic consensus, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safely Democratic. A late scandal, health issue for the nominee, or unprecedented turnout shift could alter dynamics before November 3, though such developments remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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