**Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive with projected margins under 5 points, driven by an expanded battlefield of open seats and a national environment favoring Democrats.** Republicans defend 23 of the 35 seats up, including vulnerable holds in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, while Democrats must defend Michigan and hold Georgia and New Hampshire. Recent polling averages show tight races in those five Republican-held states plus Michigan, with margins often 1–4 points amid a Democratic generic ballot lead of 7–8 points. Cook Political Report and similar raters list six toss-ups, reflecting candidate quality, fundraising parity in key matchups, and midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. Prediction markets price Democrats as slight favorites to net the four seats needed for majority control. With seven weeks until November 3, late polls, turnout differentials in swing states, and any final campaign developments could still shift the handful of races expected to finish within the 5% threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$64,713 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
टेक्सास
83%
अलास्का
72%
Kansas
63%
मिशिगन
66%
आयोवा
62%
ओहायो (विशेष)
56%
मेन
52%
नेब्रास्का
45%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
38%
South Carolina
42%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
27%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
25%
मिनेसोटा
21%
जॉर्जिया
21%
न्यू मैक्सिको
13%
मोंटाना
10%
कोलोराडो
4%
वर्जीनिया
3%
$64,713 वॉल्यूम
टेक्सास
$7,142 वॉल्यूम
83%
अलास्का
$2,789 वॉल्यूम
72%
Kansas
$571 वॉल्यूम
63%
मिशिगन
$2,743 वॉल्यूम
66%
आयोवा
$5,657 वॉल्यूम
62%
ओहायो (विशेष)
$3,967 वॉल्यूम
56%
मेन
$1,119 वॉल्यूम
52%
नेब्रास्का
$3,719 वॉल्यूम
45%
न्यू हैम्पशायर
$2,402 वॉल्यूम
38%
South Carolina
$109 वॉल्यूम
42%
नॉर्थ कैरोलिना
$5,817 वॉल्यूम
27%
फ्लोरिडा (विशेष)
$2,450 वॉल्यूम
25%
मिनेसोटा
$10,369 वॉल्यूम
21%
जॉर्जिया
$2,057 वॉल्यूम
21%
न्यू मैक्सिको
$6,665 वॉल्यूम
13%
मोंटाना
$3,190 वॉल्यूम
10%
कोलोराडो
$2,599 वॉल्यूम
4%
वर्जीनिया
$1,344 वॉल्यूम
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive with projected margins under 5 points, driven by an expanded battlefield of open seats and a national environment favoring Democrats.** Republicans defend 23 of the 35 seats up, including vulnerable holds in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, while Democrats must defend Michigan and hold Georgia and New Hampshire. Recent polling averages show tight races in those five Republican-held states plus Michigan, with margins often 1–4 points amid a Democratic generic ballot lead of 7–8 points. Cook Political Report and similar raters list six toss-ups, reflecting candidate quality, fundraising parity in key matchups, and midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. Prediction markets price Democrats as slight favorites to net the four seats needed for majority control. With seven weeks until November 3, late polls, turnout differentials in swing states, and any final campaign developments could still shift the handful of races expected to finish within the 5% threshold.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$64,713समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive with projected margins under 5 points, driven by an expanded battlefield of open seats and a national environment favoring Democrats.** Republicans defend 23 of the 35 seats up, including vulnerable holds in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, while Democrats must defend Michigan and hold Georgia and New Hampshire. Recent polling averages show tight races in those five Republican-held states plus Michigan, with margins often 1–4 points amid a Democratic generic ballot lead of 7–8 points. Cook Political Report and similar raters list six toss-ups, reflecting candidate quality, fundraising parity in key matchups, and midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. Prediction markets price Democrats as slight favorites to net the four seats needed for majority control. With seven weeks until November 3, late polls, turnout differentials in swing states, and any final campaign developments could still shift the handful of races expected to finish within the 5% threshold.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$64,713समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...**Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive with projected margins under 5 points, driven by an expanded battlefield of open seats and a national environment favoring Democrats.** Republicans defend 23 of the 35 seats up, including vulnerable holds in Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, while Democrats must defend Michigan and hold Georgia and New Hampshire. Recent polling averages show tight races in those five Republican-held states plus Michigan, with margins often 1–4 points amid a Democratic generic ballot lead of 7–8 points. Cook Political Report and similar raters list six toss-ups, reflecting candidate quality, fundraising parity in key matchups, and midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. Prediction markets price Democrats as slight favorites to net the four seats needed for majority control. With seven weeks until November 3, late polls, turnout differentials in swing states, and any final campaign developments could still shift the handful of races expected to finish within the 5% threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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