Multiple competitive 2026 Senate contests in states such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine currently show single-digit polling margins or toss-up ratings from forecasters, reflecting open seats, strong challenger recruitment, and voter shifts in battlegrounds. Texas features Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico in a race with recent surveys clustered near even after a contentious GOP primary. Iowa and Ohio specials remain tight between Republican nominees and Democratic opponents amid shifting ratings to toss-up status. Michigan's open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in another close matchup. Alaska and Maine add further uncertainty through incumbents facing well-funded challengers. Late-cycle polling swings, turnout differentials, and national conditions could widen or narrow these margins before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTexas 16%
Iowa 11.9%
Ohio (Special) 10.8%
Michigan 10.8%
$37,196 वॉल्यूम
$37,196 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Texas
16%
Iowa
12%
Ohio (Special)
11%
Michigan
11%
Alaska
10%
Maine
9%
Nebraska
7%
North Carolina
5%
Virginia
4%
Florida (Special)
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Montana
3%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Minnesota
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 16%
Iowa 11.9%
Ohio (Special) 10.8%
Michigan 10.8%
$37,196 वॉल्यूम
$37,196 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Texas
$1,816 वॉल्यूम
16%
Iowa
$2,959 वॉल्यूम
12%
Ohio (Special)
$8,954 वॉल्यूम
11%
Michigan
$2,883 वॉल्यूम
11%
Alaska
$7,337 वॉल्यूम
10%
Maine
$1,305 वॉल्यूम
9%
Nebraska
$293 वॉल्यूम
7%
North Carolina
$851 वॉल्यूम
5%
Virginia
$5,073 वॉल्यूम
4%
Florida (Special)
$253 वॉल्यूम
3%
New Hampshire
$659 वॉल्यूम
3%
Montana
$1,284 वॉल्यूम
3%
Georgia
$824 वॉल्यूम
2%
New Mexico
$160 वॉल्यूम
2%
Minnesota
$1,489 वॉल्यूम
1%
Colorado
$1,057 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple competitive 2026 Senate contests in states such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine currently show single-digit polling margins or toss-up ratings from forecasters, reflecting open seats, strong challenger recruitment, and voter shifts in battlegrounds. Texas features Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico in a race with recent surveys clustered near even after a contentious GOP primary. Iowa and Ohio specials remain tight between Republican nominees and Democratic opponents amid shifting ratings to toss-up status. Michigan's open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in another close matchup. Alaska and Maine add further uncertainty through incumbents facing well-funded challengers. Late-cycle polling swings, turnout differentials, and national conditions could widen or narrow these margins before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,196समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple competitive 2026 Senate contests in states such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine currently show single-digit polling margins or toss-up ratings from forecasters, reflecting open seats, strong challenger recruitment, and voter shifts in battlegrounds. Texas features Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico in a race with recent surveys clustered near even after a contentious GOP primary. Iowa and Ohio specials remain tight between Republican nominees and Democratic opponents amid shifting ratings to toss-up status. Michigan's open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in another close matchup. Alaska and Maine add further uncertainty through incumbents facing well-funded challengers. Late-cycle polling swings, turnout differentials, and national conditions could widen or narrow these margins before November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$37,196समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Multiple competitive 2026 Senate contests in states such as Texas, Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, Alaska, and Maine currently show single-digit polling margins or toss-up ratings from forecasters, reflecting open seats, strong challenger recruitment, and voter shifts in battlegrounds. Texas features Republican Ken Paxton against Democrat James Talarico in a race with recent surveys clustered near even after a contentious GOP primary. Iowa and Ohio specials remain tight between Republican nominees and Democratic opponents amid shifting ratings to toss-up status. Michigan's open Democratic seat pits Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers in another close matchup. Alaska and Maine add further uncertainty through incumbents facing well-funded challengers. Late-cycle polling swings, turnout differentials, and national conditions could widen or narrow these margins before November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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