U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
4% संभावना
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
4% संभावना
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
$179,084 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$179,084समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$179,084समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy under the current administration favors a phased stabilization process in Venezuela following the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro and recognition of Delcy Rodríguez as interim president. President Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado's domestic support and respect needed to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has emphasized economic recovery and transition timelines without endorsing her recognition. Machado remains in exile, has declined participation in U.S.-backed talks, and faces reported White House concerns over potential unrest tied to her return. These positions, combined with the absence of any formal acknowledgment of Machado as leader through mid-2026, underpin trader consensus against recognition by year-end. Shifts could still arise from unexpected electoral breakthroughs, diplomatic realignments, or internal Venezuelan power changes before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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