Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, reflecting sustained pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict—widely viewed as the wrong decision by majorities—and persistent economic concerns including inflation and the cost of living. Multiple surveys from late May into early June, including those from the New York Times/Siena, Economist/YouGov, and Marquette, show readings clustered between 35% and 39%, with net approvals at or near historic lows for his second term. The tight distribution of market probabilities around 38–39.5% mirrors this stability in recent data releases while capturing uncertainty over any final shifts before June 12. A major diplomatic development in the Middle East, stronger economic indicators, or a high-profile policy announcement could widen the range in either direction ahead of the resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया38.5–38.9 32%
39.0–39.4 31%
<38.0 29%
39.5–39.9 29%
<38.0
29%
38.0–38.4
29%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
29%
40.0+
28%
38.5–38.9 32%
39.0–39.4 31%
<38.0 29%
39.5–39.9 29%
<38.0
29%
38.0–38.4
29%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
29%
40.0+
28%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, reflecting sustained pressure from the ongoing Iran conflict—widely viewed as the wrong decision by majorities—and persistent economic concerns including inflation and the cost of living. Multiple surveys from late May into early June, including those from the New York Times/Siena, Economist/YouGov, and Marquette, show readings clustered between 35% and 39%, with net approvals at or near historic lows for his second term. The tight distribution of market probabilities around 38–39.5% mirrors this stability in recent data releases while capturing uncertainty over any final shifts before June 12. A major diplomatic development in the Middle East, stronger economic indicators, or a high-profile policy announcement could widen the range in either direction ahead of the resolution date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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