The June 2026 Social Security Trustees Report remains the dominant factor shaping views on insolvency timing, projecting the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund reserves will deplete in the fourth quarter of 2032 and the combined OASDI funds in the third quarter of 2034. At those points, incoming payroll taxes and other revenue would cover roughly 78-83 percent of scheduled benefits absent congressional intervention. The outlook worsened modestly from the prior year due to lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus revenue effects from the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act. No major reform legislation has advanced since the report, leaving the long-term actuarial shortfall at 4.42 percent of taxable payroll and keeping attention on whether lawmakers will address the gap before reserves run low.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाद्वारा सामाजिक सुरक्षा दिवालिया...?
द्वारा सामाजिक सुरक्षा दिवालिया...?
नया
31 दिस, 2028
31 दिसंबर, 2027
11%
31 दिसंबर, 2028
17%
$394 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2027
$349 वॉल्यूम
11%
31 दिसंबर, 2028
$45 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 2026 Social Security Trustees Report remains the dominant factor shaping views on insolvency timing, projecting the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund reserves will deplete in the fourth quarter of 2032 and the combined OASDI funds in the third quarter of 2034. At those points, incoming payroll taxes and other revenue would cover roughly 78-83 percent of scheduled benefits absent congressional intervention. The outlook worsened modestly from the prior year due to lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus revenue effects from the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act. No major reform legislation has advanced since the report, leaving the long-term actuarial shortfall at 4.42 percent of taxable payroll and keeping attention on whether lawmakers will address the gap before reserves run low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$394समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The June 2026 Social Security Trustees Report remains the dominant factor shaping views on insolvency timing, projecting the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund reserves will deplete in the fourth quarter of 2032 and the combined OASDI funds in the third quarter of 2034. At those points, incoming payroll taxes and other revenue would cover roughly 78-83 percent of scheduled benefits absent congressional intervention. The outlook worsened modestly from the prior year due to lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus revenue effects from the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act. No major reform legislation has advanced since the report, leaving the long-term actuarial shortfall at 4.42 percent of taxable payroll and keeping attention on whether lawmakers will address the gap before reserves run low.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Social Security Administration is unable to fully pay benefits due to lack of solvency by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, Social Security will be considered to have a lack of solvency if its Trust Funds' combined asset reserves are exhausted and benefit payments must be reduced or eliminated. A temporary lack of payments related to the debt ceiling limit will not qualify.
A projected depletion date alone will not qualify; actual depletion must occur.
The primary resolution source will be official publications from the Social Security Administration or the White House, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$394समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Jun 9, 2026, 10:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The June 2026 Social Security Trustees Report remains the dominant factor shaping views on insolvency timing, projecting the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance trust fund reserves will deplete in the fourth quarter of 2032 and the combined OASDI funds in the third quarter of 2034. At those points, incoming payroll taxes and other revenue would cover roughly 78-83 percent of scheduled benefits absent congressional intervention. The outlook worsened modestly from the prior year due to lower fertility and immigration assumptions plus revenue effects from the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act. No major reform legislation has advanced since the report, leaving the long-term actuarial shortfall at 4.42 percent of taxable payroll and keeping attention on whether lawmakers will address the gap before reserves run low.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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