Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts faces independent Dan Osborn in the November 2026 Nebraska Senate contest after Democrat Cindy Burbank withdrew in July to consolidate support behind Osborn. Recent polls show the race statistically tied or within a few points, consistent with Osborn’s 2024 performance that narrowed the Republican margin in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2006. Primary results and endorsements have clarified the field, but limited post-primary polling and fundraising gaps leave the expected victory margin uncertain. Traders price multiple narrow Republican or independent outcomes near 30-40% as the contest remains sensitive to turnout among working-class and independent voters, future debate performances, and any shifts in national or state economic messaging before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRepublican 0-3% 38%
रिपब्लिकन 12-15% 36%
रिपब्लिकन 9-12% 35%
Republican 18-21% 33%

Republican 21%+
27%

Republican 18-21%
33%

रिपब्लिकन 15-18%
28%

रिपब्लिकन 12-15%
36%

रिपब्लिकन 9-12%
35%

Republican 6-9%
25%

रिपब्लिकन 3-6%
32%

Republican 0-3%
38%

स्वतंत्र 0-3%
27%

निर्दलीय 3%+
29%
Republican 0-3% 38%
रिपब्लिकन 12-15% 36%
रिपब्लिकन 9-12% 35%
Republican 18-21% 33%

Republican 21%+
27%

Republican 18-21%
33%

रिपब्लिकन 15-18%
28%

रिपब्लिकन 12-15%
36%

रिपब्लिकन 9-12%
35%

Republican 6-9%
25%

रिपब्लिकन 3-6%
32%

Republican 0-3%
38%

स्वतंत्र 0-3%
27%

निर्दलीय 3%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nebraska Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nebraska Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts faces independent Dan Osborn in the November 2026 Nebraska Senate contest after Democrat Cindy Burbank withdrew in July to consolidate support behind Osborn. Recent polls show the race statistically tied or within a few points, consistent with Osborn’s 2024 performance that narrowed the Republican margin in a state without a Democratic Senate win since 2006. Primary results and endorsements have clarified the field, but limited post-primary polling and fundraising gaps leave the expected victory margin uncertain. Traders price multiple narrow Republican or independent outcomes near 30-40% as the contest remains sensitive to turnout among working-class and independent voters, future debate performances, and any shifts in national or state economic messaging before Election Day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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