Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary after a competitive contest, positioning him against Republican Mike Rogers for the open Senate seat on November 3. Recent polls show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 1 to 7 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting voter support in a state with narrow partisan divides and an open seat dynamic. Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate nominee, faces scrutiny over debate participation and policy contrasts on issues such as healthcare and economic priorities. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's primary momentum and polling edge as key drivers behind the current 61.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, while viewing the race as competitive given historical volatility in Michigan elections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामिशिगन सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
मिशिगन सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$593,700 वॉल्यूम
$593,700 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
अब्दुल एल-सैयद (डेमोक्रेट)
62%
माइक रोजर्स (आर)
39%
$593,700 वॉल्यूम
$593,700 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
अब्दुल एल-सैयद (डेमोक्रेट)
$322,569 वॉल्यूम
62%
माइक रोजर्स (आर)
$271,131 वॉल्यूम
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary after a competitive contest, positioning him against Republican Mike Rogers for the open Senate seat on November 3. Recent polls show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 1 to 7 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting voter support in a state with narrow partisan divides and an open seat dynamic. Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate nominee, faces scrutiny over debate participation and policy contrasts on issues such as healthcare and economic priorities. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's primary momentum and polling edge as key drivers behind the current 61.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, while viewing the race as competitive given historical volatility in Michigan elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$593,700समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary after a competitive contest, positioning him against Republican Mike Rogers for the open Senate seat on November 3. Recent polls show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 1 to 7 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting voter support in a state with narrow partisan divides and an open seat dynamic. Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate nominee, faces scrutiny over debate participation and policy contrasts on issues such as healthcare and economic priorities. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's primary momentum and polling edge as key drivers behind the current 61.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, while viewing the race as competitive given historical volatility in Michigan elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$593,700समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan's August 4 primary after a competitive contest, positioning him against Republican Mike Rogers for the open Senate seat on November 3. Recent polls show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 1 to 7 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting voter support in a state with narrow partisan divides and an open seat dynamic. Rogers, a former congressman and 2024 Senate nominee, faces scrutiny over debate participation and policy contrasts on issues such as healthcare and economic priorities. Traders appear to weigh El-Sayed's primary momentum and polling edge as key drivers behind the current 61.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee, while viewing the race as competitive given historical volatility in Michigan elections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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