Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया27 जुलाई को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 36%
17°C 33%
15°C 25%
14°C 7.5%
13°C या उससे कम
4%
14°C
8%
15°C
25%
16°C
36%
17°C
33%
18°C
6%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या अधिक
<1%
16°C 36%
17°C 33%
15°C 25%
14°C 7.5%
13°C या उससे कम
4%
14°C
8%
15°C
25%
16°C
36%
17°C
33%
18°C
6%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from Météo-France and European ensembles currently favor overnight lows near 16°C for Paris on July 27, with trader consensus split among 16–18°C outcomes. Clear skies under a ridge of high pressure promote strong radiative cooling after sunset, while light winds limit turbulent mixing of warmer air from above the boundary layer. Small differences in predicted cloud cover timing, surface dew points, and urban heat-island retention can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated 48-hour model runs and any late changes in Atlantic low-pressure tracks remain the key variables that could move implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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