Trader consensus shows near-even odds across bins from 21°C to 31°C+ because short-range ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 19 display high sensitivity to overnight cloud cover and rainfall under the southwest monsoon. PAGASA and global models indicate typical September minima near 24–26°C, with divergence arising from uncertain convective activity that modulates radiative cooling; clearer skies would favor lower readings while persistent showers raise them. Historical records show rare dips below 22°C absent a nearby tropical cyclone, while Manila’s urban heat island effect tends to limit extremes. Next model cycles and official guidance updates will refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया19 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
19 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C या उससे कम 95%
31°C या उससे अधिक 93%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
नया
नया
19 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
95%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
23%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
39%
31°C या उससे अधिक
93%
21°C या उससे कम 95%
31°C या उससे अधिक 93%
27°C 40%
22°C 39%
नया
नया
19 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
95%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
23%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
31°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows near-even odds across bins from 21°C to 31°C+ because short-range ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 19 display high sensitivity to overnight cloud cover and rainfall under the southwest monsoon. PAGASA and global models indicate typical September minima near 24–26°C, with divergence arising from uncertain convective activity that modulates radiative cooling; clearer skies would favor lower readings while persistent showers raise them. Historical records show rare dips below 22°C absent a nearby tropical cyclone, while Manila’s urban heat island effect tends to limit extremes. Next model cycles and official guidance updates will refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows near-even odds across bins from 21°C to 31°C+ because short-range ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 19 display high sensitivity to overnight cloud cover and rainfall under the southwest monsoon. PAGASA and global models indicate typical September minima near 24–26°C, with divergence arising from uncertain convective activity that modulates radiative cooling; clearer skies would favor lower readings while persistent showers raise them. Historical records show rare dips below 22°C absent a nearby tropical cyclone, while Manila’s urban heat island effect tends to limit extremes. Next model cycles and official guidance updates will refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows near-even odds across bins from 21°C to 31°C+ because short-range ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 19 display high sensitivity to overnight cloud cover and rainfall under the southwest monsoon. PAGASA and global models indicate typical September minima near 24–26°C, with divergence arising from uncertain convective activity that modulates radiative cooling; clearer skies would favor lower readings while persistent showers raise them. Historical records show rare dips below 22°C absent a nearby tropical cyclone, while Manila’s urban heat island effect tends to limit extremes. Next model cycles and official guidance updates will refine the probability distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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