Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 14 in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–95% overnight, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minima near 24–25°C reflect the lingering influence of the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 25–27°C, incorporates model spread and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Hong Kong Observatory final readings will determine resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies potentially altering the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 34%
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
28°C 9%
21°C या उससे नीचे
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 31%
25°C 24%
28°C 9%
21°C या उससे नीचे
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, project Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 14 in the 24–27°C range, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, high humidity near 80–95% overnight, and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average minima near 24–25°C reflect the lingering influence of the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus, reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 25–27°C, incorporates model spread and urban heat island effects that can elevate observed lows by 1–2°C relative to rural baselines. Hong Kong Observatory final readings will determine resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear skies potentially altering the exact minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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