**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे कम तापमान?
31 अगस्त को शिकागो में सबसे कम तापमान?
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 29%
70-71°F 25%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
3%
84°F या उससे अधिक
1%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 31%
76-77°F 29%
70-71°F 25%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
$141 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
68-69°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
70-71°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
72-73°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
32%
76-77°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
78-79°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
80-81°F
$115 वॉल्यूम
5%
82-83°F
$145 वॉल्यूम
3%
84°F या उससे अधिक
$228 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date.
Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$629समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date.
Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$629समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 3:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to an overnight low in the mid-70s°F for Chicago on August 31, 2026, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds centered on 72–77°F.** Persistent southerly winds and a warm, humid air mass are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated well above the long-term average low of ~64°F for the date. Model consensus shows partly cloudy skies and dew points near 70°F, which reduces the temperature drop after sunset and supports lows around 74–75°F as the most probable outcome. Minor variations in cloud cover, wind speed, or the exact timing of any brief clearing could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, explaining the tight clustering across the 70–77°F bins and the lower probabilities assigned to cooler or warmer extremes. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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