Current forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 17–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions, typical for mid-September, suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights, with observed values hovering around 18–19°C amid dew points near 17°C. Slight model divergences on wind patterns and cloud timing create uncertainty between 16°C and 18°C thresholds, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Traders weigh official agency guidance and real-time station data as resolution approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C 90%
14°C या उससे कम 89%
15°C 89%
17°C 50%
14°C या उससे कम
89%
15°C
89%
16°C
90%
17°C
50%
18°C
54%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
16°C 90%
14°C या उससे कम 89%
15°C 89%
17°C 50%
14°C या उससे कम
89%
15°C
89%
16°C
90%
17°C
50%
18°C
54%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C या अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 17–18°C on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. These conditions, typical for mid-September, suppress temperature drops compared to clearer nights, with observed values hovering around 18–19°C amid dew points near 17°C. Slight model divergences on wind patterns and cloud timing create uncertainty between 16°C and 18°C thresholds, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds. Traders weigh official agency guidance and real-time station data as resolution approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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