Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Katy Tyndell in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Estes’s 2024 victory by 23 points and a comparable presidential margin. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising data shows Estes holding a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while Democratic candidates raised far less in a low-profile primary. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors. Shifts would require a major national environment change, a significant scandal, or unforeseen district boundary alterations before Election Day—none of which are indicated by current filings or assessments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKS -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
KS -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$68,204 वॉल्यूम
$68,204 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
8%
$68,204 वॉल्यूम
$68,204 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$39,556 वॉल्यूम
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$28,648 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Katy Tyndell in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Estes’s 2024 victory by 23 points and a comparable presidential margin. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising data shows Estes holding a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while Democratic candidates raised far less in a low-profile primary. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors. Shifts would require a major national environment change, a significant scandal, or unforeseen district boundary alterations before Election Day—none of which are indicated by current filings or assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,204समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Katy Tyndell in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Estes’s 2024 victory by 23 points and a comparable presidential margin. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising data shows Estes holding a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while Democratic candidates raised far less in a low-profile primary. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors. Shifts would require a major national environment change, a significant scandal, or unforeseen district boundary alterations before Election Day—none of which are indicated by current filings or assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$68,204समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80 percent of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Katy Tyndell in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Estes’s 2024 victory by 23 points and a comparable presidential margin. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Fundraising data shows Estes holding a substantial cash-on-hand advantage, while Democratic candidates raised far less in a low-profile primary. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these structural factors. Shifts would require a major national environment change, a significant scandal, or unforeseen district boundary alterations before Election Day—none of which are indicated by current filings or assessments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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