Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$24,057,007 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 अगस्त
<1%
30 सितंबर
3%
31 अक्टूबर
7%
30 नवंबर
10%
31 दिसंबर
16%
30 जून, 2027
25%
$24,057,007 वॉल्यूम
31 अगस्त
$1,461,694 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30 सितंबर
$490,857 वॉल्यूम
3%
31 अक्टूबर
$26,233 वॉल्यूम
7%
30 नवंबर
$18,839 वॉल्यूम
10%
31 दिसंबर
$4,120,003 वॉल्यूम
16%
30 जून, 2027
$251,699 वॉल्यूम
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,057,007समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$24,057,007समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei holds the position of Supreme Leader following his father Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes, with the Assembly of Experts formalizing his selection in March amid an interim council and wartime disruptions. Recent trader sentiment reflects low near-term change probabilities, as President Masoud Pezeshkian publicly affirmed Khamenei’s health after an August 2026 meeting, while the IRGC and senior officials have consolidated influence through new military appointments and a collective security apparatus. Economic pressures, including sharp food price rises, and ongoing U.S. ceasefire negotiations introduce uncertainty, yet institutional continuity and the absence of major internal challenges or scheduled votes keep implied odds of leadership transition modest through year-end and into 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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