Minnesota's eight U.S. House districts enter the 2026 cycle evenly divided at four seats each for Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters rate seven districts as safe for the incumbent party, leaving the open second district—vacated by retiring Democrat Angie Craig—as the primary variable. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat, which carries a D+3 partisan voting index, as Likely Democratic following recent primaries. This structure produces trader consensus around four Democratic wins as the baseline outcome while assigning meaningful probability to a net gain of one seat. Broader midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment in the open district remain the main near-term factors that could shift positioning ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 50%
5 26%
<3 14%
3 9%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<3
14%
3
9%
4
50%
5
26%
6+
9%
4 50%
5 26%
<3 14%
3 9%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
<3
$76 वॉल्यूम
14%
3
$76 वॉल्यूम
9%
4
$76 वॉल्यूम
50%
5
$105 वॉल्यूम
26%
6+
$76 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Minnesota's eight U.S. House districts enter the 2026 cycle evenly divided at four seats each for Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters rate seven districts as safe for the incumbent party, leaving the open second district—vacated by retiring Democrat Angie Craig—as the primary variable. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat, which carries a D+3 partisan voting index, as Likely Democratic following recent primaries. This structure produces trader consensus around four Democratic wins as the baseline outcome while assigning meaningful probability to a net gain of one seat. Broader midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment in the open district remain the main near-term factors that could shift positioning ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 10:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$409समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Minnesota's eight U.S. House districts enter the 2026 cycle evenly divided at four seats each for Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters rate seven districts as safe for the incumbent party, leaving the open second district—vacated by retiring Democrat Angie Craig—as the primary variable. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat, which carries a D+3 partisan voting index, as Likely Democratic following recent primaries. This structure produces trader consensus around four Democratic wins as the baseline outcome while assigning meaningful probability to a net gain of one seat. Broader midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment in the open district remain the main near-term factors that could shift positioning ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Minnesota in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Minnesota US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$409समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 10:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Minnesota's eight U.S. House districts enter the 2026 cycle evenly divided at four seats each for Democrats and Republicans. Forecasters rate seven districts as safe for the incumbent party, leaving the open second district—vacated by retiring Democrat Angie Craig—as the primary variable. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat, which carries a D+3 partisan voting index, as Likely Democratic following recent primaries. This structure produces trader consensus around four Democratic wins as the baseline outcome while assigning meaningful probability to a net gain of one seat. Broader midterm dynamics and candidate recruitment in the open district remain the main near-term factors that could shift positioning ahead of November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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