Recent August CPI and PPI releases have shown persistent inflation pressures, including energy-driven components, pushing the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, up from around 4.53% earlier in the month. Markets now price a 70-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, reflecting hawkish repricing amid sticky core readings and higher oil prices. This dynamic has lifted the term premium and short-rate expectations, limiting further downside in yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales data, and any follow-through inflation surprises that could reinforce or ease the hawkish tilt.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
30 सित, 2026
4.52% से नीचे
47%
4.49% से नीचे
61%
4.46% से नीचे
28%
4.43% से नीचे
29%
4.40% से नीचे
21%
4.37% से नीचे
16%
4.32% से नीचे
8%
4.27% से नीचे
11%
4.20% से नीचे
2%
$5,856 वॉल्यूम
4.52% से नीचे
$1,264 वॉल्यूम
47%
4.49% से नीचे
$555 वॉल्यूम
61%
4.46% से नीचे
$61 वॉल्यूम
28%
4.43% से नीचे
$79 वॉल्यूम
29%
4.40% से नीचे
$240 वॉल्यूम
21%
4.37% से नीचे
$468 वॉल्यूम
16%
4.32% से नीचे
$986 वॉल्यूम
8%
4.27% से नीचे
$797 वॉल्यूम
11%
4.20% से नीचे
$1,406 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent August CPI and PPI releases have shown persistent inflation pressures, including energy-driven components, pushing the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, up from around 4.53% earlier in the month. Markets now price a 70-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, reflecting hawkish repricing amid sticky core readings and higher oil prices. This dynamic has lifted the term premium and short-rate expectations, limiting further downside in yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales data, and any follow-through inflation surprises that could reinforce or ease the hawkish tilt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,856समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent August CPI and PPI releases have shown persistent inflation pressures, including energy-driven components, pushing the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, up from around 4.53% earlier in the month. Markets now price a 70-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, reflecting hawkish repricing amid sticky core readings and higher oil prices. This dynamic has lifted the term premium and short-rate expectations, limiting further downside in yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales data, and any follow-through inflation surprises that could reinforce or ease the hawkish tilt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$5,856समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 8:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent August CPI and PPI releases have shown persistent inflation pressures, including energy-driven components, pushing the 5-year Treasury yield to 4.78-4.79% as of September 11, up from around 4.53% earlier in the month. Markets now price a 70-90% probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, reflecting hawkish repricing amid sticky core readings and higher oil prices. This dynamic has lifted the term premium and short-rate expectations, limiting further downside in yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the FOMC decision, retail sales data, and any follow-through inflation surprises that could reinforce or ease the hawkish tilt.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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