The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% on September 11, 2026, after climbing roughly 30 basis points in recent weeks amid elevated inflation readings, rising oil prices, and market-implied odds exceeding 70% for a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Persistent core inflation pressures, a higher term premium reflecting fiscal supply concerns, and revised expectations for fewer near-term policy easings have driven the move higher from earlier 2026 lows near 3.5%. The current federal funds target range of 3.50-3.75% anchors medium-term rates, while upcoming CPI releases, retail sales data, and the September dot plot will shape near-term repricing. Longer-term resolution by 2027 hinges on the inflation trajectory and any shifts in growth or labor market conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$13,691 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
4.50% से नीचे
46%
4.45% के नीचे
38%
4.40% से नीचे
34%
4.35% से नीचे
34%
4.30% के नीचे
12%
4.25% से नीचे
14%
4.20% से नीचे
12%
4.10% से नीचे
12%
4.00% से नीचे
9%
$13,691 वॉल्यूम
4.50% से नीचे
$566 वॉल्यूम
46%
4.45% के नीचे
$983 वॉल्यूम
38%
4.40% से नीचे
$998 वॉल्यूम
34%
4.35% से नीचे
$1,868 वॉल्यूम
34%
4.30% के नीचे
$310 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.25% से नीचे
$259 वॉल्यूम
14%
4.20% से नीचे
$1,042 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.10% से नीचे
$6,185 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.00% से नीचे
$1,480 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% on September 11, 2026, after climbing roughly 30 basis points in recent weeks amid elevated inflation readings, rising oil prices, and market-implied odds exceeding 70% for a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Persistent core inflation pressures, a higher term premium reflecting fiscal supply concerns, and revised expectations for fewer near-term policy easings have driven the move higher from earlier 2026 lows near 3.5%. The current federal funds target range of 3.50-3.75% anchors medium-term rates, while upcoming CPI releases, retail sales data, and the September dot plot will shape near-term repricing. Longer-term resolution by 2027 hinges on the inflation trajectory and any shifts in growth or labor market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,691समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% on September 11, 2026, after climbing roughly 30 basis points in recent weeks amid elevated inflation readings, rising oil prices, and market-implied odds exceeding 70% for a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Persistent core inflation pressures, a higher term premium reflecting fiscal supply concerns, and revised expectations for fewer near-term policy easings have driven the move higher from earlier 2026 lows near 3.5%. The current federal funds target range of 3.50-3.75% anchors medium-term rates, while upcoming CPI releases, retail sales data, and the September dot plot will shape near-term repricing. Longer-term resolution by 2027 hinges on the inflation trajectory and any shifts in growth or labor market conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$13,691समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% on September 11, 2026, after climbing roughly 30 basis points in recent weeks amid elevated inflation readings, rising oil prices, and market-implied odds exceeding 70% for a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Persistent core inflation pressures, a higher term premium reflecting fiscal supply concerns, and revised expectations for fewer near-term policy easings have driven the move higher from earlier 2026 lows near 3.5%. The current federal funds target range of 3.50-3.75% anchors medium-term rates, while upcoming CPI releases, retail sales data, and the September dot plot will shape near-term repricing. Longer-term resolution by 2027 hinges on the inflation trajectory and any shifts in growth or labor market conditions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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