The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.35-5.37% in mid-September 2026, near 19-year highs, driven primarily by elevated term premium amid heavy net Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competition from corporate borrowing. Rising oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns, keeping long-end yields elevated despite August CPI holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year. Recent 30-year auctions, including the September 10 reopening at 5.308%, showed solid demand yet failed to ease pressure, while the Treasury's expanded buybacks provided limited support. With the FOMC meeting on September 15-16 and further data releases ahead, market-implied odds reflect expectations of sustained higher-for-longer policy, limiting downside in yields through month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$12,811 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
5.24% से नीचे
36%
5.21% से नीचे
47%
5.18% से नीचे
27%
5.15% से नीचे
10%
5.12% से नीचे
6%
5.09% से नीचे
26%
5.05% से नीचे
1%
5.00% से नीचे
1%
4.95% से नीचे
3%
$12,811 वॉल्यूम
5.24% से नीचे
$1,011 वॉल्यूम
36%
5.21% से नीचे
$869 वॉल्यूम
47%
5.18% से नीचे
$278 वॉल्यूम
27%
5.15% से नीचे
$2,504 वॉल्यूम
10%
5.12% से नीचे
$3,120 वॉल्यूम
6%
5.09% से नीचे
$964 वॉल्यूम
26%
5.05% से नीचे
$1,802 वॉल्यूम
1%
5.00% से नीचे
$962 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.95% से नीचे
$1,303 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.35-5.37% in mid-September 2026, near 19-year highs, driven primarily by elevated term premium amid heavy net Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competition from corporate borrowing. Rising oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns, keeping long-end yields elevated despite August CPI holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year. Recent 30-year auctions, including the September 10 reopening at 5.308%, showed solid demand yet failed to ease pressure, while the Treasury's expanded buybacks provided limited support. With the FOMC meeting on September 15-16 and further data releases ahead, market-implied odds reflect expectations of sustained higher-for-longer policy, limiting downside in yields through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,811समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.35-5.37% in mid-September 2026, near 19-year highs, driven primarily by elevated term premium amid heavy net Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competition from corporate borrowing. Rising oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns, keeping long-end yields elevated despite August CPI holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year. Recent 30-year auctions, including the September 10 reopening at 5.308%, showed solid demand yet failed to ease pressure, while the Treasury's expanded buybacks provided limited support. With the FOMC meeting on September 15-16 and further data releases ahead, market-implied odds reflect expectations of sustained higher-for-longer policy, limiting downside in yields through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$12,811समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.35-5.37% in mid-September 2026, near 19-year highs, driven primarily by elevated term premium amid heavy net Treasury issuance, widening fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion, and competition from corporate borrowing. Rising oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns, keeping long-end yields elevated despite August CPI holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year. Recent 30-year auctions, including the September 10 reopening at 5.308%, showed solid demand yet failed to ease pressure, while the Treasury's expanded buybacks provided limited support. With the FOMC meeting on September 15-16 and further data releases ahead, market-implied odds reflect expectations of sustained higher-for-longer policy, limiting downside in yields through month-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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