Elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion and sticky August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year have driven the 30-year yield to 5.35-5.37% levels near 19-year highs, with the September 10 auction clearing at a 5.308% high yield. Surging oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns above the Fed's 2% target, lifting market-implied odds of a September FOMC rate hike above 70% and widening the term premium as investors demand compensation for duration and supply risks. Recent data show the yield up over 100 basis points month-to-date through mid-September, with the 10-year benchmark approaching 4.95-5.00%. The next FOMC decision and any follow-through on energy prices or additional Treasury auctions represent key near-term catalysts for further movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$16,402 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
5.60%
3%
5.55%
4%
5.50%
25%
5.45%
33%
5.42%
61%
5.39%
78%
$16,402 वॉल्यूम
5.60%
$2,131 वॉल्यूम
3%
5.55%
$3,349 वॉल्यूम
4%
5.50%
$2,209 वॉल्यूम
25%
5.45%
$335 वॉल्यूम
33%
5.42%
$181 वॉल्यूम
61%
5.39%
$623 वॉल्यूम
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion and sticky August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year have driven the 30-year yield to 5.35-5.37% levels near 19-year highs, with the September 10 auction clearing at a 5.308% high yield. Surging oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns above the Fed's 2% target, lifting market-implied odds of a September FOMC rate hike above 70% and widening the term premium as investors demand compensation for duration and supply risks. Recent data show the yield up over 100 basis points month-to-date through mid-September, with the 10-year benchmark approaching 4.95-5.00%. The next FOMC decision and any follow-through on energy prices or additional Treasury auctions represent key near-term catalysts for further movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,402समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion and sticky August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year have driven the 30-year yield to 5.35-5.37% levels near 19-year highs, with the September 10 auction clearing at a 5.308% high yield. Surging oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns above the Fed's 2% target, lifting market-implied odds of a September FOMC rate hike above 70% and widening the term premium as investors demand compensation for duration and supply risks. Recent data show the yield up over 100 basis points month-to-date through mid-September, with the 10-year benchmark approaching 4.95-5.00%. The next FOMC decision and any follow-through on energy prices or additional Treasury auctions represent key near-term catalysts for further movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$16,402समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Elevated Treasury supply amid fiscal deficits near $2.1 trillion and sticky August CPI at 3.4% year-over-year have driven the 30-year yield to 5.35-5.37% levels near 19-year highs, with the September 10 auction clearing at a 5.308% high yield. Surging oil prices have reinforced inflation concerns above the Fed's 2% target, lifting market-implied odds of a September FOMC rate hike above 70% and widening the term premium as investors demand compensation for duration and supply risks. Recent data show the yield up over 100 basis points month-to-date through mid-September, with the 10-year benchmark approaching 4.95-5.00%. The next FOMC decision and any follow-through on energy prices or additional Treasury auctions represent key near-term catalysts for further movement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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