Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 21 under scattered clouds and moderate southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. August climatology in the region centers on highs near 13–14°C, and current conditions reflect a transition from early-month polar air outbreaks—documented by NIWA—to nearer-average temperatures without strong warm or cold advection expected. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, limiting odds for 15°C or higher to under 8% while keeping lower readings like 12°C as a modest tail risk. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs ahead of market close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 55%
13°C 37%
15°C 8%
12°C 3%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
37%
14°C
55%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 37%
15°C 8%
12°C 3%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
8°C or below
$261 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$329 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$331 वॉल्यूम
1%
11°C
$26 वॉल्यूम
1%
12°C
$221 वॉल्यूम
3%
13°C
$222 वॉल्यूम
37%
14°C
$388 वॉल्यूम
55%
15°C
$182 वॉल्यूम
8%
16°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C or higher
$156 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 21 under scattered clouds and moderate southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. August climatology in the region centers on highs near 13–14°C, and current conditions reflect a transition from early-month polar air outbreaks—documented by NIWA—to nearer-average temperatures without strong warm or cold advection expected. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, limiting odds for 15°C or higher to under 8% while keeping lower readings like 12°C as a modest tail risk. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,337समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 21 under scattered clouds and moderate southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. August climatology in the region centers on highs near 13–14°C, and current conditions reflect a transition from early-month polar air outbreaks—documented by NIWA—to nearer-average temperatures without strong warm or cold advection expected. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, limiting odds for 15°C or higher to under 8% while keeping lower readings like 12°C as a modest tail risk. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,337समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and timeanddate models indicate a daytime maximum of 13–14°C for Wellington on August 21 under scattered clouds and moderate southerly winds, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. August climatology in the region centers on highs near 13–14°C, and current conditions reflect a transition from early-month polar air outbreaks—documented by NIWA—to nearer-average temperatures without strong warm or cold advection expected. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, limiting odds for 15°C or higher to under 8% while keeping lower readings like 12°C as a modest tail risk. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs ahead of market close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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