Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 will likely fall between 27–30°C under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating while limiting full solar insolation. This model consensus, with narrow spreads around 28–29°C, drives the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on those outcomes as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing that could push readings to 30°C and increased moisture or overcast conditions favoring the lower end of the range. Historical late-August climatology supports this band following earlier seasonal peaks, with resolution hinging on the final observed high at official stations. New model runs and morning updates tomorrow will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 37%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 7%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 7%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
23°C or below
$174 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$54 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$96 वॉल्यूम
2%
26°C
$385 वॉल्यूम
3%
27°C
$1,578 वॉल्यूम
7%
28°C
$1,234 वॉल्यूम
22%
29°C
$1,134 वॉल्यूम
37%
30°C
$507 वॉल्यूम
22%
31°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
2%
33°C or higher
$2 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 will likely fall between 27–30°C under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating while limiting full solar insolation. This model consensus, with narrow spreads around 28–29°C, drives the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on those outcomes as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing that could push readings to 30°C and increased moisture or overcast conditions favoring the lower end of the range. Historical late-August climatology supports this band following earlier seasonal peaks, with resolution hinging on the final observed high at official stations. New model runs and morning updates tomorrow will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,292समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 will likely fall between 27–30°C under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating while limiting full solar insolation. This model consensus, with narrow spreads around 28–29°C, drives the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on those outcomes as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing that could push readings to 30°C and increased moisture or overcast conditions favoring the lower end of the range. Historical late-August climatology supports this band following earlier seasonal peaks, with resolution hinging on the final observed high at official stations. New model runs and morning updates tomorrow will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$5,292समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate Paris maximum temperatures on August 26 will likely fall between 27–30°C under variable cloud cover and light easterly flow that moderates daytime heating while limiting full solar insolation. This model consensus, with narrow spreads around 28–29°C, drives the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on those outcomes as traders weigh the balance between partial clearing that could push readings to 30°C and increased moisture or overcast conditions favoring the lower end of the range. Historical late-August climatology supports this band following earlier seasonal peaks, with resolution hinging on the final observed high at official stations. New model runs and morning updates tomorrow will provide the next key data points for refining these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न