**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions have locked in a maximum of 33°C for Madrid on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and supporting global models (GFS, ECMWF) show afternoon temperatures peaking at or very near 33°C under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation risk. This matches historical late-summer patterns for the region while reflecting the specific atmospheric setup today. The slim remaining probabilities for 34°C or lower values would require an unexpected model shift or localized microclimate variation not currently indicated in the latest runs; traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast data available through the close of the trading day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
33°C 99.7%
34°C 2%
26°C या उससे कम <1%
27°C <1%
$40,641 वॉल्यूम
$40,641 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
33°C 99.7%
34°C 2%
26°C या उससे कम <1%
27°C <1%
$40,641 वॉल्यूम
$40,641 वॉल्यूम
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions have locked in a maximum of 33°C for Madrid on September 13, 2026, aligning with the market’s near-certain 99.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Official forecasts from agencies including AEMET and supporting global models (GFS, ECMWF) show afternoon temperatures peaking at or very near 33°C under sunny conditions with light southerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation risk. This matches historical late-summer patterns for the region while reflecting the specific atmospheric setup today. The slim remaining probabilities for 34°C or lower values would require an unexpected model shift or localized microclimate variation not currently indicated in the latest runs; traders are therefore heavily weighting the consensus forecast data available through the close of the trading day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न