Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Madrid will reach a high near 30–31°C on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with recent observational trends of above-average late-summer warmth across central Spain, where daytime temperatures have consistently exceeded the 27.5°C climatological normal for the date. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 30–31°C because ensemble runs show little day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or stronger advection that could alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier higher or lower scenarios given the short time horizon and consensus across model guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया11 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 61%
30°C 34%
32°C 6%
29°C 1.4%
नया
$18,349 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,349 वॉल्यूम
11 सित, 2026
25°C या इससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
34%
31°C
61%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
31°C 61%
30°C 34%
32°C 6%
29°C 1.4%
नया
$18,349 वॉल्यूम
नया
$18,349 वॉल्यूम
11 सित, 2026
25°C या इससे कम
$1,683 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$1,021 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$447 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$667 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$729 वॉल्यूम
1%
30°C
$5,650 वॉल्यूम
34%
31°C
$3,628 वॉल्यूम
61%
32°C
$2,415 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C
$574 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$242 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$1,292 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Madrid will reach a high near 30–31°C on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with recent observational trends of above-average late-summer warmth across central Spain, where daytime temperatures have consistently exceeded the 27.5°C climatological normal for the date. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 30–31°C because ensemble runs show little day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or stronger advection that could alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier higher or lower scenarios given the short time horizon and consensus across model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$18,349समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Madrid will reach a high near 30–31°C on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with recent observational trends of above-average late-summer warmth across central Spain, where daytime temperatures have consistently exceeded the 27.5°C climatological normal for the date. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 30–31°C because ensemble runs show little day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or stronger advection that could alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier higher or lower scenarios given the short time horizon and consensus across model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$18,349समाप्ति तिथि
11 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers indicate Madrid will reach a high near 30–31°C on September 11 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure, with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with recent observational trends of above-average late-summer warmth across central Spain, where daytime temperatures have consistently exceeded the 27.5°C climatological normal for the date. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 30–31°C because ensemble runs show little day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or stronger advection that could alter the outcome before resolution. Traders appear to discount outlier higher or lower scenarios given the short time horizon and consensus across model guidance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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