Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C for Istanbul on August 10, aligning with the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and the 32.5% for 27°C. Model consensus shows stable high pressure with limited moisture advection and moderate northerly flow keeping temperatures close to late-summer climatological norms of 27–29°C rather than pushing into the low 30s. Short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has remained steady, with only minor spread across runs that still centers on 27–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance heavily, as any significant model shift or unexpected warm advection before resolution would be needed to elevate the 29–30°C outcomes that currently carry just 22.5% combined probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10 अगस्त को इस्तांबुल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 19%
31°C 7%
नया
नया
10 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C या उससे अधिक
2%
28°C 45%
27°C 32%
29°C 19%
31°C 7%
नया
नया
10 अग, 2026
23°C या उससे कम
$104 वॉल्यूम
1%
24°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
3%
27°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
32%
28°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
45%
29°C
$43 वॉल्यूम
19%
30°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
7%
32°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C for Istanbul on August 10, aligning with the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and the 32.5% for 27°C. Model consensus shows stable high pressure with limited moisture advection and moderate northerly flow keeping temperatures close to late-summer climatological norms of 27–29°C rather than pushing into the low 30s. Short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has remained steady, with only minor spread across runs that still centers on 27–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance heavily, as any significant model shift or unexpected warm advection before resolution would be needed to elevate the 29–30°C outcomes that currently carry just 22.5% combined probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$220समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C for Istanbul on August 10, aligning with the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and the 32.5% for 27°C. Model consensus shows stable high pressure with limited moisture advection and moderate northerly flow keeping temperatures close to late-summer climatological norms of 27–29°C rather than pushing into the low 30s. Short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has remained steady, with only minor spread across runs that still centers on 27–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance heavily, as any significant model shift or unexpected warm advection before resolution would be needed to elevate the 29–30°C outcomes that currently carry just 22.5% combined probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$220समाप्ति तिथि
10 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C for Istanbul on August 10, aligning with the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability for that outcome and the 32.5% for 27°C. Model consensus shows stable high pressure with limited moisture advection and moderate northerly flow keeping temperatures close to late-summer climatological norms of 27–29°C rather than pushing into the low 30s. Short-range guidance issued in the past 48 hours has remained steady, with only minor spread across runs that still centers on 27–28°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest official guidance heavily, as any significant model shift or unexpected warm advection before resolution would be needed to elevate the 29–30°C outcomes that currently carry just 22.5% combined probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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