Google DeepMind's rapid iteration on the Gemini series, including the 2025 launch of Gemini 3 Pro and subsequent 2026 previews like Gemini 3.1 Pro, drives current trader focus on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question benchmark testing expert-level reasoning across disciplines. Recent Gemini variants have posted scores in the 37–45% range on HLE, trailing leaders like Claude Fable 5 at 53%, yet Google's integration of advanced reasoning modes and scale advantages could narrow gaps through 2026. Key catalysts include upcoming model releases, developer conferences, and direct benchmark comparisons with GPT and Claude iterations that historically shift leaderboard positions. Traders watch for confirmed capability jumps versus incremental gains amid typical release timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
31 दिस, 2026
50%+
69%
55%+
46%
60%+
25%
65%+
16%
70%+
13%
$1,271 वॉल्यूम
50%+
$222 वॉल्यूम
69%
55%+
$20 वॉल्यूम
46%
60%+
$508 वॉल्यूम
25%
65%+
$272 वॉल्यूम
16%
70%+
$249 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google DeepMind's rapid iteration on the Gemini series, including the 2025 launch of Gemini 3 Pro and subsequent 2026 previews like Gemini 3.1 Pro, drives current trader focus on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question benchmark testing expert-level reasoning across disciplines. Recent Gemini variants have posted scores in the 37–45% range on HLE, trailing leaders like Claude Fable 5 at 53%, yet Google's integration of advanced reasoning modes and scale advantages could narrow gaps through 2026. Key catalysts include upcoming model releases, developer conferences, and direct benchmark comparisons with GPT and Claude iterations that historically shift leaderboard positions. Traders watch for confirmed capability jumps versus incremental gains amid typical release timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,271समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google DeepMind's rapid iteration on the Gemini series, including the 2025 launch of Gemini 3 Pro and subsequent 2026 previews like Gemini 3.1 Pro, drives current trader focus on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question benchmark testing expert-level reasoning across disciplines. Recent Gemini variants have posted scores in the 37–45% range on HLE, trailing leaders like Claude Fable 5 at 53%, yet Google's integration of advanced reasoning modes and scale advantages could narrow gaps through 2026. Key catalysts include upcoming model releases, developer conferences, and direct benchmark comparisons with GPT and Claude iterations that historically shift leaderboard positions. Traders watch for confirmed capability jumps versus incremental gains amid typical release timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
वॉल्यूम
$1,271समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google DeepMind's rapid iteration on the Gemini series, including the 2025 launch of Gemini 3 Pro and subsequent 2026 previews like Gemini 3.1 Pro, drives current trader focus on Humanity's Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question benchmark testing expert-level reasoning across disciplines. Recent Gemini variants have posted scores in the 37–45% range on HLE, trailing leaders like Claude Fable 5 at 53%, yet Google's integration of advanced reasoning modes and scale advantages could narrow gaps through 2026. Key catalysts include upcoming model releases, developer conferences, and direct benchmark comparisons with GPT and Claude iterations that historically shift leaderboard positions. Traders watch for confirmed capability jumps versus incremental gains amid typical release timelines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासंबंधित
क्या 2026 में मानवता की अंतिम परीक्षा में प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च अंक 65% या उससे अधिक होगी?
38%
हाँ
क्या 2026 में Humanity’s Last Exam में OpenAI मॉडल द्वारा प्राप्त की गई सर्वोच्च स्कोर 55% या उससे अधिक होगी?
53%
हाँ
क्या मेटा मॉडल द्वारा 2026 में ह्यूमैनिटी'ज़ लास्ट एग्जाम में प्राप्त किया गया सर्वोच्च स्कोर 65% या उससे अधिक होगा?
50%
हाँ
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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