Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis advancing unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary. The district's partisan voting index and recent electoral history, including a projected Trump margin exceeding 10 points in 2024, underpin the strong Republican positioning. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. On the Democratic side, Kimberly Overman narrowly won the August 18 primary over Darren McAuley, but the nominee faces structural barriers in a district with limited swing potential. A minor-party candidate, Branden Scrivener, also appears on the general ballot. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape or shifted the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
FL -12 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$54,572 वॉल्यूम
$54,572 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
89%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
10%
$54,572 वॉल्यूम
$54,572 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$21,276 वॉल्यूम
89%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$33,296 वॉल्यूम
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis advancing unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary. The district's partisan voting index and recent electoral history, including a projected Trump margin exceeding 10 points in 2024, underpin the strong Republican positioning. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. On the Democratic side, Kimberly Overman narrowly won the August 18 primary over Darren McAuley, but the nominee faces structural barriers in a district with limited swing potential. A minor-party candidate, Branden Scrivener, also appears on the general ballot. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape or shifted the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,572समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis advancing unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary. The district's partisan voting index and recent electoral history, including a projected Trump margin exceeding 10 points in 2024, underpin the strong Republican positioning. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. On the Democratic side, Kimberly Overman narrowly won the August 18 primary over Darren McAuley, but the nominee faces structural barriers in a district with limited swing potential. A minor-party candidate, Branden Scrivener, also appears on the general ballot. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape or shifted the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$54,572समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with incumbent Gus Bilirakis advancing unopposed through the August 18 Republican primary. The district's partisan voting index and recent electoral history, including a projected Trump margin exceeding 10 points in 2024, underpin the strong Republican positioning. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. On the Democratic side, Kimberly Overman narrowly won the August 18 primary over Darren McAuley, but the nominee faces structural barriers in a district with limited swing potential. A minor-party candidate, Branden Scrivener, also appears on the general ballot. No major developments in the past month have altered the competitive landscape or shifted the implied probabilities reflected in current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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