Resilient US economic conditions underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1% and solid payroll gains, while real GDP growth holds around 2% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy shocks and supply factors. Policymakers under Chair Kevin Warsh have shifted toward holding or hiking the federal funds rate from its 3.50-3.75% target range, with futures pricing a high likelihood of tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting and limited easing until 2027. This consensus reflects the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger intermeeting cuts. Unexpected developments such as a sharp escalation in geopolitical conflicts or rapid labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
8% संभावना
$213,642 वॉल्यूम
$213,642 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
8% संभावना
$213,642 वॉल्यूम
$213,642 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient US economic conditions underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1% and solid payroll gains, while real GDP growth holds around 2% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy shocks and supply factors. Policymakers under Chair Kevin Warsh have shifted toward holding or hiking the federal funds rate from its 3.50-3.75% target range, with futures pricing a high likelihood of tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting and limited easing until 2027. This consensus reflects the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger intermeeting cuts. Unexpected developments such as a sharp escalation in geopolitical conflicts or rapid labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$213,642समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Resilient US economic conditions underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1% and solid payroll gains, while real GDP growth holds around 2% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy shocks and supply factors. Policymakers under Chair Kevin Warsh have shifted toward holding or hiking the federal funds rate from its 3.50-3.75% target range, with futures pricing a high likelihood of tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting and limited easing until 2027. This consensus reflects the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger intermeeting cuts. Unexpected developments such as a sharp escalation in geopolitical conflicts or rapid labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
वॉल्यूम
$213,642समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Resilient US economic conditions underpin the 92.1% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The labor market remains stable with unemployment near 4.1% and solid payroll gains, while real GDP growth holds around 2% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy shocks and supply factors. Policymakers under Chair Kevin Warsh have shifted toward holding or hiking the federal funds rate from its 3.50-3.75% target range, with futures pricing a high likelihood of tightening at the September 2026 FOMC meeting and limited easing until 2027. This consensus reflects the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals that historically trigger intermeeting cuts. Unexpected developments such as a sharp escalation in geopolitical conflicts or rapid labor market deterioration could still alter the path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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