**Recent short-window data showing consistent 40-64 tweet totals in multiple three-day periods has anchored trader consensus on that bracket at 51% implied probability for September 17–19.** Musk’s posting pace remains variable but frequently settles in the low-to-mid range absent major breaking news, product launches, or political flashpoints, with daily averages often landing between roughly 13 and 21 posts. The next several days lack immediate high-impact catalysts such as earnings, regulatory announcements, or SpaceX events that historically spike reply and quote volume. Precedent from settled markets in early September reinforces this moderate-activity baseline, keeping higher brackets (65+) at combined probabilities below 35% while the sub-40 outcome trails at 19.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया40-64 51%
65-89 26%
40 से कम 20%
90-114 5%
नया
नया
19 सित, 2026
40 से कम
20%
40-64
51%
65-89
26%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 26%
40 से कम 20%
90-114 5%
नया
नया
19 सित, 2026
40 से कम
$502 वॉल्यूम
20%
40-64
$859 वॉल्यूम
51%
65-89
$2,312 वॉल्यूम
26%
90-114
$1,245 वॉल्यूम
5%
115-139
$885 वॉल्यूम
1%
140-164
$102 वॉल्यूम
1%
165-189
$220 वॉल्यूम
1%
190-214
$129 वॉल्यूम
<1%
215-239
$342 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240+
$252 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent short-window data showing consistent 40-64 tweet totals in multiple three-day periods has anchored trader consensus on that bracket at 51% implied probability for September 17–19.** Musk’s posting pace remains variable but frequently settles in the low-to-mid range absent major breaking news, product launches, or political flashpoints, with daily averages often landing between roughly 13 and 21 posts. The next several days lack immediate high-impact catalysts such as earnings, regulatory announcements, or SpaceX events that historically spike reply and quote volume. Precedent from settled markets in early September reinforces this moderate-activity baseline, keeping higher brackets (65+) at combined probabilities below 35% while the sub-40 outcome trails at 19.5%.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,850समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent short-window data showing consistent 40-64 tweet totals in multiple three-day periods has anchored trader consensus on that bracket at 51% implied probability for September 17–19.** Musk’s posting pace remains variable but frequently settles in the low-to-mid range absent major breaking news, product launches, or political flashpoints, with daily averages often landing between roughly 13 and 21 posts. The next several days lack immediate high-impact catalysts such as earnings, regulatory announcements, or SpaceX events that historically spike reply and quote volume. Precedent from settled markets in early September reinforces this moderate-activity baseline, keeping higher brackets (65+) at combined probabilities below 35% while the sub-40 outcome trails at 19.5%.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 17 12:00 PM ET to September 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$6,850समाप्ति तिथि
19 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent short-window data showing consistent 40-64 tweet totals in multiple three-day periods has anchored trader consensus on that bracket at 51% implied probability for September 17–19.** Musk’s posting pace remains variable but frequently settles in the low-to-mid range absent major breaking news, product launches, or political flashpoints, with daily averages often landing between roughly 13 and 21 posts. The next several days lack immediate high-impact catalysts such as earnings, regulatory announcements, or SpaceX events that historically spike reply and quote volume. Precedent from settled markets in early September reinforces this moderate-activity baseline, keeping higher brackets (65+) at combined probabilities below 35% while the sub-40 outcome trails at 19.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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