Elon Musk’s tweet volume market reflects closely bunched probabilities across the 180–259 range because traders are pricing in his historically high but variable posting rate on X. Recent patterns show Musk averaging 25–40 daily posts during active weeks, driven by real-time commentary on technology, politics, and company updates, with occasional spikes tied to product launches or regulatory news. The August 28–September 4 window sits between major earnings cycles and the start of fall political season, leaving room for both steady engagement and sudden surges. Key swing factors include any SpaceX or Tesla milestones, election-related developments, or platform policy announcements that could push counts toward the upper or lower edges of the current frontrunner bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया220-239 16%
180-199 15%
200-219 15%
240-259 14%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
3%
140-159
9%
160-179
11%
180-199
15%
200-219
15%
220-239
16%
240-259
14%
260-279
9%
280-299
7%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
3%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 16%
180-199 15%
200-219 15%
240-259 14%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
<20
$705 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20-39
$754 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-59
$754 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-79
$1,129 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-99
$24 वॉल्यूम
1%
100-119
$234 वॉल्यूम
2%
120-139
$148 वॉल्यूम
3%
140-159
$174 वॉल्यूम
9%
160-179
$24 वॉल्यूम
11%
180-199
$38 वॉल्यूम
15%
200-219
$100 वॉल्यूम
15%
220-239
$116 वॉल्यूम
16%
240-259
$50 वॉल्यूम
14%
260-279
$76 वॉल्यूम
9%
280-299
$38 वॉल्यूम
7%
300-319
$24 वॉल्यूम
6%
320-339
$24 वॉल्यूम
3%
340-359
$44 वॉल्यूम
3%
360-379
$29 वॉल्यूम
<1%
380-399
$29 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$25 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$24 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$24 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$24 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$24 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume market reflects closely bunched probabilities across the 180–259 range because traders are pricing in his historically high but variable posting rate on X. Recent patterns show Musk averaging 25–40 daily posts during active weeks, driven by real-time commentary on technology, politics, and company updates, with occasional spikes tied to product launches or regulatory news. The August 28–September 4 window sits between major earnings cycles and the start of fall political season, leaving room for both steady engagement and sudden surges. Key swing factors include any SpaceX or Tesla milestones, election-related developments, or platform policy announcements that could push counts toward the upper or lower edges of the current frontrunner bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,777समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume market reflects closely bunched probabilities across the 180–259 range because traders are pricing in his historically high but variable posting rate on X. Recent patterns show Musk averaging 25–40 daily posts during active weeks, driven by real-time commentary on technology, politics, and company updates, with occasional spikes tied to product launches or regulatory news. The August 28–September 4 window sits between major earnings cycles and the start of fall political season, leaving room for both steady engagement and sudden surges. Key swing factors include any SpaceX or Tesla milestones, election-related developments, or platform policy announcements that could push counts toward the upper or lower edges of the current frontrunner bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$4,777समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume market reflects closely bunched probabilities across the 180–259 range because traders are pricing in his historically high but variable posting rate on X. Recent patterns show Musk averaging 25–40 daily posts during active weeks, driven by real-time commentary on technology, politics, and company updates, with occasional spikes tied to product launches or regulatory news. The August 28–September 4 window sits between major earnings cycles and the start of fall political season, leaving room for both steady engagement and sudden surges. Key swing factors include any SpaceX or Tesla milestones, election-related developments, or platform policy announcements that could push counts toward the upper or lower edges of the current frontrunner bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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