Elon Musk’s tweet volume typically fluctuates with breaking news cycles, product announcements, and platform engagement rather than following a rigid schedule, which explains why traders have clustered implied probabilities tightly around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 window. Recent daily counts in July and early August have hovered in the mid-teens to mid-20s, producing weekly totals that align with these brackets and underscoring the market’s assessment of steady but not exceptional activity. Without confirmed major catalysts such as a high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX event slated for the period, the distribution remains competitive, with outcomes separated by just a few percentage points reflecting the inherent unpredictability of real-time posting behavior on X.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 14%
नया
$74,499 वॉल्यूम
नया
$74,499 वॉल्यूम
21 अग, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
2%
120-139
7%
140-159
10%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
14%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 14%
नया
$74,499 वॉल्यूम
नया
$74,499 वॉल्यूम
21 अग, 2026
<20
$1,883 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20-39
$1,883 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-59
$1,883 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60-79
$12,742 वॉल्यूम
<1%
80-99
$4,836 वॉल्यूम
<1%
100-119
$8,886 वॉल्यूम
2%
120-139
$7,278 वॉल्यूम
7%
140-159
$1,125 वॉल्यूम
10%
160-179
$2,752 वॉल्यूम
18%
180-199
$1,542 वॉल्यूम
19%
200-219
$1,075 वॉल्यूम
17%
220-239
$1,099 वॉल्यूम
14%
240-259
$1,216 वॉल्यूम
8%
260-279
$1,350 वॉल्यूम
5%
280-299
$4,358 वॉल्यूम
2%
300-319
$2,315 वॉल्यूम
2%
320-339
$1,639 वॉल्यूम
1%
340-359
$1,310 वॉल्यूम
1%
360-379
$892 वॉल्यूम
1%
380-399
$790 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$790 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$1,253 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$1,868 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$1,383 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$1,383 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$6,971 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume typically fluctuates with breaking news cycles, product announcements, and platform engagement rather than following a rigid schedule, which explains why traders have clustered implied probabilities tightly around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 window. Recent daily counts in July and early August have hovered in the mid-teens to mid-20s, producing weekly totals that align with these brackets and underscoring the market’s assessment of steady but not exceptional activity. Without confirmed major catalysts such as a high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX event slated for the period, the distribution remains competitive, with outcomes separated by just a few percentage points reflecting the inherent unpredictability of real-time posting behavior on X.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$74,499समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume typically fluctuates with breaking news cycles, product announcements, and platform engagement rather than following a rigid schedule, which explains why traders have clustered implied probabilities tightly around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 window. Recent daily counts in July and early August have hovered in the mid-teens to mid-20s, producing weekly totals that align with these brackets and underscoring the market’s assessment of steady but not exceptional activity. Without confirmed major catalysts such as a high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX event slated for the period, the distribution remains competitive, with outcomes separated by just a few percentage points reflecting the inherent unpredictability of real-time posting behavior on X.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$74,499समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume typically fluctuates with breaking news cycles, product announcements, and platform engagement rather than following a rigid schedule, which explains why traders have clustered implied probabilities tightly around the 160–219 range for the August 14–21 window. Recent daily counts in July and early August have hovered in the mid-teens to mid-20s, producing weekly totals that align with these brackets and underscoring the market’s assessment of steady but not exceptional activity. Without confirmed major catalysts such as a high-stakes Tesla or SpaceX event slated for the period, the distribution remains competitive, with outcomes separated by just a few percentage points reflecting the inherent unpredictability of real-time posting behavior on X.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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