Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week—centered on Grok AI benchmark wins, agentic tool updates, and SpaceX launch records—has anchored trader expectations for the 160-179 tweet bracket at 66% implied probability. Recent days show consistent output of roughly 23–26 main-feed posts daily, fueled by rapid commentary on model performance, simultaneous Falcon 9 missions, and cultural or geopolitical topics that drive engagement. Historical patterns from comparable windows confirm this range as the dominant baseline, while the 140-159 bucket at 30.6% reflects only modest downside risk if activity moderates before the August 18 close. Upcoming chart or platform metrics are unlikely to shift volume dramatically in the final hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया160-179 65%
140-159 33.8%
180-199 1.9%
200-219 <1%
$2,196,472 वॉल्यूम
$2,196,472 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
140-159
34%
160-179
65%
180-199
2%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 65%
140-159 33.8%
180-199 1.9%
200-219 <1%
$2,196,472 वॉल्यूम
$2,196,472 वॉल्यूम
18 अग, 2026
140-159
$365,853 वॉल्यूम
34%
160-179
$207,027 वॉल्यूम
65%
180-199
$186,183 वॉल्यूम
2%
200-219
$168,196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
220-239
$163,786 वॉल्यूम
<1%
240-259
$145,555 वॉल्यूम
<1%
260-279
$110,673 वॉल्यूम
<1%
280-299
$93,959 वॉल्यूम
<1%
300-319
$83,111 वॉल्यूम
<1%
320-339
$43,368 वॉल्यूम
<1%
340-359
$42,323 वॉल्यूम
<1%
360-379
$29,969 वॉल्यूम
<1%
380-399
$25,087 वॉल्यूम
<1%
400-419
$22,118 वॉल्यूम
<1%
420-439
$15,300 वॉल्यूम
<1%
440-459
$15,044 वॉल्यूम
<1%
460-479
$6,196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
480-499
$5,696 वॉल्यूम
<1%
500+
$43,869 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week—centered on Grok AI benchmark wins, agentic tool updates, and SpaceX launch records—has anchored trader expectations for the 160-179 tweet bracket at 66% implied probability. Recent days show consistent output of roughly 23–26 main-feed posts daily, fueled by rapid commentary on model performance, simultaneous Falcon 9 missions, and cultural or geopolitical topics that drive engagement. Historical patterns from comparable windows confirm this range as the dominant baseline, while the 140-159 bucket at 30.6% reflects only modest downside risk if activity moderates before the August 18 close. Upcoming chart or platform metrics are unlikely to shift volume dramatically in the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,196,472समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week—centered on Grok AI benchmark wins, agentic tool updates, and SpaceX launch records—has anchored trader expectations for the 160-179 tweet bracket at 66% implied probability. Recent days show consistent output of roughly 23–26 main-feed posts daily, fueled by rapid commentary on model performance, simultaneous Falcon 9 missions, and cultural or geopolitical topics that drive engagement. Historical patterns from comparable windows confirm this range as the dominant baseline, while the 140-159 bucket at 30.6% reflects only modest downside risk if activity moderates before the August 18 close. Upcoming chart or platform metrics are unlikely to shift volume dramatically in the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$2,196,472समाप्ति तिथि
18 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X this week—centered on Grok AI benchmark wins, agentic tool updates, and SpaceX launch records—has anchored trader expectations for the 160-179 tweet bracket at 66% implied probability. Recent days show consistent output of roughly 23–26 main-feed posts daily, fueled by rapid commentary on model performance, simultaneous Falcon 9 missions, and cultural or geopolitical topics that drive engagement. Historical patterns from comparable windows confirm this range as the dominant baseline, while the 140-159 bucket at 30.6% reflects only modest downside risk if activity moderates before the August 18 close. Upcoming chart or platform metrics are unlikely to shift volume dramatically in the final hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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