Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver behind elevated WTI crude prices near $85 per barrel as of June 12, supporting a market-implied probability above $84 at end-June settlement. Large inventory draws, with OECD stocks projected to reach multi-decade lows, have reinforced the futures curve in backwardation despite softer demand signals and OPEC's downward revision to 2026 growth forecasts. Recent progress in ceasefire talks introduced volatility and modest pullbacks, though persistent Middle East output shortfalls continue to outweigh these factors. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, diplomatic updates, and any OPEC+ follow-through as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून के अंत में ___ से ऊपर है?
क्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून के अंत में ___ से ऊपर है?
$136,233 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$90
43%
$85
42%
$80
76%
$75
83%
$70
93%
$65
96%
$63
96%
$60
99%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$136,233 वॉल्यूम
$90
$26,987 वॉल्यूम
43%
$85
$7,451 वॉल्यूम
42%
$80
$6,410 वॉल्यूम
76%
$75
$17,107 वॉल्यूम
83%
$70
$20,410 वॉल्यूम
93%
$65
$935 वॉल्यूम
96%
$63
$9,166 वॉल्यूम
96%
$60
$23,622 वॉल्यूम
99%
$56
$4,950 वॉल्यूम
97%
$55
$3,741 वॉल्यूम
98%
$52
$6,368 वॉल्यूम
99%
$50
$9,104 वॉल्यूम
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver behind elevated WTI crude prices near $85 per barrel as of June 12, supporting a market-implied probability above $84 at end-June settlement. Large inventory draws, with OECD stocks projected to reach multi-decade lows, have reinforced the futures curve in backwardation despite softer demand signals and OPEC's downward revision to 2026 growth forecasts. Recent progress in ceasefire talks introduced volatility and modest pullbacks, though persistent Middle East output shortfalls continue to outweigh these factors. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, diplomatic updates, and any OPEC+ follow-through as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$136,233समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver behind elevated WTI crude prices near $85 per barrel as of June 12, supporting a market-implied probability above $84 at end-June settlement. Large inventory draws, with OECD stocks projected to reach multi-decade lows, have reinforced the futures curve in backwardation despite softer demand signals and OPEC's downward revision to 2026 growth forecasts. Recent progress in ceasefire talks introduced volatility and modest pullbacks, though persistent Middle East output shortfalls continue to outweigh these factors. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, diplomatic updates, and any OPEC+ follow-through as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
वॉल्यूम
$136,233समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the U.S.-Iran conflict and effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February remain the dominant driver behind elevated WTI crude prices near $85 per barrel as of June 12, supporting a market-implied probability above $84 at end-June settlement. Large inventory draws, with OECD stocks projected to reach multi-decade lows, have reinforced the futures curve in backwardation despite softer demand signals and OPEC's downward revision to 2026 growth forecasts. Recent progress in ceasefire talks introduced volatility and modest pullbacks, though persistent Middle East output shortfalls continue to outweigh these factors. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory data, diplomatic updates, and any OPEC+ follow-through as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.
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