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icon for CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

icon for CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता

$44,455 वॉल्यूम

2 जून, 2026
Polymarket

$44,455 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

माइक थॉम्पसन

$7,712 वॉल्यूम

100%

एरिक जोन्स

$13,400 वॉल्यूम

82%

शेरोन ब्राउन

$4,679 वॉल्यूम

5%

लॉरी मैकेंज़ी

$868 वॉल्यूम

1%

जॉन वेस्ली टायलर

$1,903 वॉल्यूम

1%

मंडी घुसार

$3,238 वॉल्यूम

1%

ट्रेवर मेर्रेल

$10,866 वॉल्यूम

<1%

हीथ फुल्करसन

$1,790 वॉल्यूम

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term after redistricting shifted roughly half the district, led the June 2, 2026, jungle primary with approximately 39 percent of the vote. Republican Raymond Riehle placed second near 23 percent, while Democratic challenger Eric Jones, backed by progressive groups and emphasizing voter mobilization, finished third around 21 percent. Under California's top-two system, Thompson and Riehle advance to the November general election. Primary turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and the moderate positioning of the longtime incumbent relative to intra-party competition shaped the final vote shares reported in the days after the primary.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$44,455
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term after redistricting shifted roughly half the district, led the June 2, 2026, jungle primary with approximately 39 percent of the vote. Republican Raymond Riehle placed second near 23 percent, while Democratic challenger Eric Jones, backed by progressive groups and emphasizing voter mobilization, finished third around 21 percent. Under California's top-two system, Thompson and Riehle advance to the November general election. Primary turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and the moderate positioning of the longtime incumbent relative to intra-party competition shaped the final vote shares reported in the days after the primary.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$44,455
समाप्ति तिथि
2 जून, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" Polymarket पर 8 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, माइक थॉम्पसन 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद एरिक जोन्स 82% पर है।

आज तक, "CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" ने कुल $44.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Feb 26, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 8 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "माइक थॉम्पसन" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "एरिक जोन्स" 82% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"CA -04 प्राथमिक विजेता" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।