Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term after redistricting shifted roughly half the district, led the June 2, 2026, jungle primary with approximately 39 percent of the vote. Republican Raymond Riehle placed second near 23 percent, while Democratic challenger Eric Jones, backed by progressive groups and emphasizing voter mobilization, finished third around 21 percent. Under California's top-two system, Thompson and Riehle advance to the November general election. Primary turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and the moderate positioning of the longtime incumbent relative to intra-party competition shaped the final vote shares reported in the days after the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$44,455 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
100%
एरिक जोन्स
82%
शेरोन ब्राउन
5%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
1%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
1%
मंडी घुसार
1%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
<1%
हीथ फुल्करसन
<1%
$44,455 वॉल्यूम
माइक थॉम्पसन
100%
एरिक जोन्स
82%
शेरोन ब्राउन
5%
लॉरी मैकेंज़ी
1%
जॉन वेस्ली टायलर
1%
मंडी घुसार
1%
ट्रेवर मेर्रेल
<1%
हीथ फुल्करसन
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term after redistricting shifted roughly half the district, led the June 2, 2026, jungle primary with approximately 39 percent of the vote. Republican Raymond Riehle placed second near 23 percent, while Democratic challenger Eric Jones, backed by progressive groups and emphasizing voter mobilization, finished third around 21 percent. Under California's top-two system, Thompson and Riehle advance to the November general election. Primary turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and the moderate positioning of the longtime incumbent relative to intra-party competition shaped the final vote shares reported in the days after the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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