Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$34,770 वॉल्यूम
$34,770 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
5%
$34,770 वॉल्यूम
$34,770 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$20,091 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,679 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,770समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$34,770समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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