**Trader sentiment on the Bank of Canada’s October 28 decision heavily favors no change at the current 2.25% overnight rate, reflecting the central bank’s September 2 hold—the seventh consecutive pause—and its assessment that the economy and inflation have evolved broadly in line with the July Monetary Policy Report.** Strong Q2 GDP growth of 3.3% and an unemployment rate steady near 6.4% signal a broadening recovery, while core inflation measures remain close to 2% even as headline CPI hovers around 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. New U.S. tariffs and Canadian countermeasures introduce offsetting downside risks to growth, keeping policymakers on hold pending the October Monetary Policy Report and fresh data such as the September employment report. Overnight index swap pricing and analyst surveys align with this cautious stance, pricing limited odds of an immediate 25-basis-point hike despite some hawkish commentary on persistent inflation risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 75.3%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी 24.1%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती <1%
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी <1%
$72,122 वॉल्यूम
$72,122 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
<1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
24%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
75%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती
1%
50+ बीपीएस की कमी
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 75.3%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी 24.1%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती <1%
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी <1%
$72,122 वॉल्यूम
$72,122 वॉल्यूम
27 अक्टू, 2026
50+ बेसिस पॉइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
$7,927 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 बेसिस प्वाइंट्स की बढ़ोतरी
$16,682 वॉल्यूम
24%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$30,904 वॉल्यूम
75%
25 बीपीएस की कटौती
$12,545 वॉल्यूम
1%
50+ बीपीएस की कमी
$4,064 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.**Trader sentiment on the Bank of Canada’s October 28 decision heavily favors no change at the current 2.25% overnight rate, reflecting the central bank’s September 2 hold—the seventh consecutive pause—and its assessment that the economy and inflation have evolved broadly in line with the July Monetary Policy Report.** Strong Q2 GDP growth of 3.3% and an unemployment rate steady near 6.4% signal a broadening recovery, while core inflation measures remain close to 2% even as headline CPI hovers around 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. New U.S. tariffs and Canadian countermeasures introduce offsetting downside risks to growth, keeping policymakers on hold pending the October Monetary Policy Report and fresh data such as the September employment report. Overnight index swap pricing and analyst surveys align with this cautious stance, pricing limited odds of an immediate 25-basis-point hike despite some hawkish commentary on persistent inflation risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$72,122समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.**Trader sentiment on the Bank of Canada’s October 28 decision heavily favors no change at the current 2.25% overnight rate, reflecting the central bank’s September 2 hold—the seventh consecutive pause—and its assessment that the economy and inflation have evolved broadly in line with the July Monetary Policy Report.** Strong Q2 GDP growth of 3.3% and an unemployment rate steady near 6.4% signal a broadening recovery, while core inflation measures remain close to 2% even as headline CPI hovers around 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. New U.S. tariffs and Canadian countermeasures introduce offsetting downside risks to growth, keeping policymakers on hold pending the October Monetary Policy Report and fresh data such as the September employment report. Overnight index swap pricing and analyst surveys align with this cautious stance, pricing limited odds of an immediate 25-basis-point hike despite some hawkish commentary on persistent inflation risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the October 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its October 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its October 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$72,122समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 15, 2026, 9:50 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment on the Bank of Canada’s October 28 decision heavily favors no change at the current 2.25% overnight rate, reflecting the central bank’s September 2 hold—the seventh consecutive pause—and its assessment that the economy and inflation have evolved broadly in line with the July Monetary Policy Report.** Strong Q2 GDP growth of 3.3% and an unemployment rate steady near 6.4% signal a broadening recovery, while core inflation measures remain close to 2% even as headline CPI hovers around 3% from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. New U.S. tariffs and Canadian countermeasures introduce offsetting downside risks to growth, keeping policymakers on hold pending the October Monetary Policy Report and fresh data such as the September employment report. Overnight index swap pricing and analyst surveys align with this cautious stance, pricing limited odds of an immediate 25-basis-point hike despite some hawkish commentary on persistent inflation risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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