Market-implied odds heavily favor the official ARS/USD rate ending 2026 above 1,600, reflecting consensus analyst projections around 1,650 from the BCRA’s REM and LatinFocus surveys amid current levels near 1,512. Primary drivers include Argentina’s managed exchange-rate band regime, which ties monthly crawl rates to trailing inflation data, alongside continued disinflation—monthly CPI readings have moderated toward 1.5–1.7%—and BCRA reserve accumulation that has supported gradual peso depreciation without sharp adjustments. Recent policy signals emphasize inflation control over faster weakening to preserve competitiveness, though real appreciation and 2027 debt maturities remain latent pressures. Upcoming monthly inflation releases and any BCRA interventions will likely shape near-term sentiment as traders assess whether depreciation stays contained below or breaches the 1,600 threshold by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+ 67%
1500.00–1549.99 19.8%
1450.00–1499.99 19.6%
1400.00–1449.99 16.9%
<1250.00
7%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
10%
1450.00–1499.99
11%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
10%
1600.00+
67%
1600.00+ 67%
1500.00–1549.99 19.8%
1450.00–1499.99 19.6%
1400.00–1449.99 16.9%
<1250.00
7%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
10%
1450.00–1499.99
11%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
10%
1600.00+
67%
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Market-implied odds heavily favor the official ARS/USD rate ending 2026 above 1,600, reflecting consensus analyst projections around 1,650 from the BCRA’s REM and LatinFocus surveys amid current levels near 1,512. Primary drivers include Argentina’s managed exchange-rate band regime, which ties monthly crawl rates to trailing inflation data, alongside continued disinflation—monthly CPI readings have moderated toward 1.5–1.7%—and BCRA reserve accumulation that has supported gradual peso depreciation without sharp adjustments. Recent policy signals emphasize inflation control over faster weakening to preserve competitiveness, though real appreciation and 2027 debt maturities remain latent pressures. Upcoming monthly inflation releases and any BCRA interventions will likely shape near-term sentiment as traders assess whether depreciation stays contained below or breaches the 1,600 threshold by year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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