Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” commands overwhelming trader consensus at 96% implied probability for the #2 global Spotify song the week of September 18 because it has locked in that exact ranking on the most recent weekly tallies with roughly 22.7 million streams—well clear of the next tier of tracks. The single from the 2024 mixtape *Sweet Boy* benefits from sustained catalog strength, platinum certification, and ongoing “Do That Again” tour dates that keep fan engagement elevated without the volatility of a brand-new release. A realistic upset would require a sharp late-week surge from one of the clustered 50% options—such as a viral boost for “Loser,” “Ain’t in LA,” or “BbY WOW”—or an unexpected dip in “Earrings” streams that allows another song to overtake it before the chart locks.