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Politique·Primaire

Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ?

icon for Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ?
Politique·Primaire

Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ?

Oui

5% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

5% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Francesca Hong by roughly 0.48 percentage points (about 3,800 votes) in a race called by the Associated Press after Hong conceded.** Wisconsin law permits a losing candidate to request a recount when the margin falls below 1%, but the requester must cover costs if the margin exceeds 0.25%. With the final tally comfortably above that threshold and no campaign signals of pursuing a paid recount, state election officials have no pending petition. The narrow but decisive result, combined with the concession and the brief window before the August 31 deadline, has produced broad trader consensus that no official recount order will issue.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,435
Date de fin
31 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**David Crowley secured the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination on August 11, 2026, defeating Francesca Hong by roughly 0.48 percentage points (about 3,800 votes) in a race called by the Associated Press after Hong conceded.** Wisconsin law permits a losing candidate to request a recount when the margin falls below 1%, but the requester must cover costs if the margin exceeds 0.25%. With the final tally comfortably above that threshold and no campaign signals of pursuing a paid recount, state election officials have no pending petition. The narrow but decisive result, combined with the concession and the brief window before the August 31 deadline, has produced broad trader consensus that no official recount order will issue.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it.

A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary.

Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,435
Date de fin
31 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:18 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order under Wis. Stat. § 9.01 directing an official recount of the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant election authorities must announce definitively that the recount process will begin or is already underway. A mere recount request, eligibility for a recount, filing of a recount petition, or proceedings to consider a recount will not qualify. The initiation of a recount without an announcement by election authorities will also qualify. For purposes of this market, a recount will be considered initiated once the Wisconsin Elections Commission issues an order directing a recount, regardless of which person or entity requested it. A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is undertaken by election authorities. A qualifying recount must be conducted pursuant to Wis. Stat. § 9.01 for the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. Minor administrative re-tallies, routine audits, and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a recount for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Connexes

icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

91%
icon for David Crowley va-t-il gagner la primaire démocrate du gouverneur du Wisconsin avec moins de 1 % d'avance ?

David Crowley va-t-il gagner la primaire démocrate du gouverneur du Wisconsin avec moins de 1 % d'avance ?

100%
Oui
icon for David Crowley remportera-t-il la primaire démocrate pour le poste de gouverneur du Wisconsin ?

David Crowley remportera-t-il la primaire démocrate pour le poste de gouverneur du Wisconsin ?

100%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage de la primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 5¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 5% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 12, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? » est « Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage de la primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? » à seulement 5%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le Wisconsin ordonnera-t-il un recomptage primaire du gouverneur démocrate d'ici le 31 août ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.