Manchester United's dominant 78% implied probability reflects Marcus Rashford's confirmed reintegration into the squad for the 2026-27 campaign after his Barcelona loan ended without the €30 million purchase option being triggered. Recent developments include Michael Carrick publicly welcoming the forward to the Ireland training camp, United assigning him a new squad number, and the expiration of his release clause without viable bids from elite clubs materializing. Interest from Barcelona, Bayern Munich, and others has cooled amid Rashford's contract running to 2028 and high wages, while Premier League rivals face resistance from the club. Limited movement in the final weeks of the window reinforces the market's view that the England international will stay at Old Trafford barring an unexpected late deal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourManchester United 78.2%
Barcelona 6.6%
Al-Hilal 3.3%
Bayern Munich 1.6%
$28,908 Vol.
$28,908 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
Manchester United
78%
Barcelona
7%
Al-Hilal
3%
Bayern Munich
2%
Chelsea
1%
Aston Villa
<1%
Napoli
<1%
AC Milan
<1%
Manchester United 78.2%
Barcelona 6.6%
Al-Hilal 3.3%
Bayern Munich 1.6%
$28,908 Vol.
$28,908 Vol.
2 sept. 2026
Manchester United
$21,157 Vol.
78%
Barcelona
$1,314 Vol.
7%
Al-Hilal
$577 Vol.
3%
Bayern Munich
$363 Vol.
2%
Chelsea
$396 Vol.
1%
Aston Villa
$4,217 Vol.
<1%
Napoli
$343 Vol.
<1%
AC Milan
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Rashford officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United".
If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Manchester United's dominant 78% implied probability reflects Marcus Rashford's confirmed reintegration into the squad for the 2026-27 campaign after his Barcelona loan ended without the €30 million purchase option being triggered. Recent developments include Michael Carrick publicly welcoming the forward to the Ireland training camp, United assigning him a new squad number, and the expiration of his release clause without viable bids from elite clubs materializing. Interest from Barcelona, Bayern Munich, and others has cooled amid Rashford's contract running to 2028 and high wages, while Premier League rivals face resistance from the club. Limited movement in the final weeks of the window reinforces the market's view that the England international will stay at Old Trafford barring an unexpected late deal.
This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Rashford officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United".
If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United".
If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 15, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$28,908Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Rashford officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United".
If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Manchester United's dominant 78% implied probability reflects Marcus Rashford's confirmed reintegration into the squad for the 2026-27 campaign after his Barcelona loan ended without the €30 million purchase option being triggered. Recent developments include Michael Carrick publicly welcoming the forward to the Ireland training camp, United assigning him a new squad number, and the expiration of his release clause without viable bids from elite clubs materializing. Interest from Barcelona, Bayern Munich, and others has cooled amid Rashford's contract running to 2028 and high wages, while Premier League rivals face resistance from the club. Limited movement in the final weeks of the window reinforces the market's view that the England international will stay at Old Trafford barring an unexpected late deal.
This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Rashford officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United".
If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
If Marcus Rashford does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Manchester United".
If Marcus Rashford joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Marcus Rashford is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Manchester United and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$28,908Marché ouvert
Jun 15, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Manchester United's dominant 78% implied probability reflects Marcus Rashford's confirmed reintegration into the squad for the 2026-27 campaign after his Barcelona loan ended without the €30 million purchase option being triggered. Recent developments include Michael Carrick publicly welcoming the forward to the Ireland training camp, United assigning him a new squad number, and the expiration of his release clause without viable bids from elite clubs materializing. Interest from Barcelona, Bayern Munich, and others has cooled amid Rashford's contract running to 2028 and high wages, while Premier League rivals face resistance from the club. Limited movement in the final weeks of the window reinforces the market's view that the England international will stay at Old Trafford barring an unexpected late deal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes