Elevated inflation and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty represent the dominant near-term drivers for S&P 500 levels in September 2026. The index closed at 7,718.60 on September 4 after trading in a 7,611–7,817 range over the prior month, supported by solid 2.2% GDP growth expectations and AI-driven earnings momentum but pressured by May PCE inflation at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since January, though three members dissented in favor of a hike at the July meeting and futures markets assign elevated odds of tightening by year-end. Traders are focused on the September FOMC, August inflation releases, and any further geopolitical developments affecting energy prices as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around current index levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$63,887 Vol.
30 sept. 2026
↑ 830 $
2%
↑ 820 $
2%
↑ 810 $
6%
↑ 800 $
13%
↑ 790 $
23%
↑ 780 $
54%
↑ 770 $
94%
↓ 760 $
63%
↓ 750 $
37%
↓ 740 $
24%
↓ 730 $
16%
↓ 720 $
12%
↓ 710 $
8%
↓ 700 $
3%
$63,887 Vol.
↑ 830 $
$88 Vol.
2%
↑ 820 $
$534 Vol.
2%
↑ 810 $
$652 Vol.
6%
↑ 800 $
$1,630 Vol.
13%
↑ 790 $
$3,632 Vol.
23%
↑ 780 $
$2,408 Vol.
54%
↑ 770 $
$0 Vol.
94%
↓ 760 $
$1,934 Vol.
63%
↓ 750 $
$15,123 Vol.
37%
↓ 740 $
$14,324 Vol.
24%
↓ 730 $
$6,160 Vol.
16%
↓ 720 $
$4,423 Vol.
12%
↓ 710 $
$2,551 Vol.
8%
↓ 700 $
$5,164 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Elevated inflation and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty represent the dominant near-term drivers for S&P 500 levels in September 2026. The index closed at 7,718.60 on September 4 after trading in a 7,611–7,817 range over the prior month, supported by solid 2.2% GDP growth expectations and AI-driven earnings momentum but pressured by May PCE inflation at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since January, though three members dissented in favor of a hike at the July meeting and futures markets assign elevated odds of tightening by year-end. Traders are focused on the September FOMC, August inflation releases, and any further geopolitical developments affecting energy prices as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around current index levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$63,887Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Elevated inflation and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty represent the dominant near-term drivers for S&P 500 levels in September 2026. The index closed at 7,718.60 on September 4 after trading in a 7,611–7,817 range over the prior month, supported by solid 2.2% GDP growth expectations and AI-driven earnings momentum but pressured by May PCE inflation at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since January, though three members dissented in favor of a hike at the July meeting and futures markets assign elevated odds of tightening by year-end. Traders are focused on the September FOMC, August inflation releases, and any further geopolitical developments affecting energy prices as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around current index levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$63,887Date de fin
1 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty represent the dominant near-term drivers for S&P 500 levels in September 2026. The index closed at 7,718.60 on September 4 after trading in a 7,611–7,817 range over the prior month, supported by solid 2.2% GDP growth expectations and AI-driven earnings momentum but pressured by May PCE inflation at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The FOMC has held the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since January, though three members dissented in favor of a hike at the July meeting and futures markets assign elevated odds of tightening by year-end. Traders are focused on the September FOMC, August inflation releases, and any further geopolitical developments affecting energy prices as key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities around current index levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes