Taylor Swift holds a narrow edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 54% implied probability, driven by her record 30 prior wins and the chance to claim the all-time lead ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominees including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Morgan Wallen sit clustered near even odds, reflecting a wide-open fan-voted contest where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and opening performance slot signal strong industry momentum from her Confessions II project, yet her lower market price suggests traders see Swift’s dedicated fanbase and historical VMA strength as decisive factors in a tight race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourArtiste VMA de l'année 2026
Taylor Swift 52%
Madonna 21%
Ariana Grande 10%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%

Taylor Swift
52%

Madonna
21%

Ariana Grande
10%

Morgan Wallen
2%

Bruno Mars
2%

Sabrina Carpenter
2%
Taylor Swift 52%
Madonna 21%
Ariana Grande 10%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%

Taylor Swift
52%

Madonna
21%

Ariana Grande
10%

Morgan Wallen
2%

Bruno Mars
2%

Sabrina Carpenter
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift holds a narrow edge in the VMA Artist of the Year market at 54% implied probability, driven by her record 30 prior wins and the chance to claim the all-time lead ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Nominees including Madonna, Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Morgan Wallen sit clustered near even odds, reflecting a wide-open fan-voted contest where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s 13 total nominations and opening performance slot signal strong industry momentum from her Confessions II project, yet her lower market price suggests traders see Swift’s dedicated fanbase and historical VMA strength as decisive factors in a tight race.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes