**Strong opening momentum and sustained audience demand position "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a domestic total well above $900 million by August 31.** The film launched with a record $360 million domestic debut on July 31, 2026, the biggest three-day opening ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, MCU continuity, and high anticipation following the post-"No Way Home" reset. Exceptional word-of-mouth, reflected in 98% audience scores and 90% critics' approval on Rotten Tomatoes, has driven robust weekday holds and multi-weekend legs around 1.5x, with daily grosses remaining elevated through early August. Industry tracking and comparable summer blockbusters indicate the title will comfortably surpass $900 million within the first month, though the 37% probability on the $800–900 million range accounts for potential softening from competition or audience fatigue in later weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" total brut national d'ici le 31 août ?
900M+ 62.9%
800 - 900 millions 38%
700 - 800 millions <1%
600 - 700 millions <1%
$696,115 Vol.
$696,115 Vol.
<400 millions
<1%
400 - 500 millions
<1%
500 - 600 millions
<1%
600 - 700 millions
<1%
700 - 800 millions
1%
800 - 900 millions
38%
900M+
63%
900M+ 62.9%
800 - 900 millions 38%
700 - 800 millions <1%
600 - 700 millions <1%
$696,115 Vol.
$696,115 Vol.
<400 millions
<1%
400 - 500 millions
<1%
500 - 600 millions
<1%
600 - 700 millions
<1%
700 - 800 millions
1%
800 - 900 millions
38%
900M+
63%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong opening momentum and sustained audience demand position "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" for a domestic total well above $900 million by August 31.** The film launched with a record $360 million domestic debut on July 31, 2026, the biggest three-day opening ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, MCU continuity, and high anticipation following the post-"No Way Home" reset. Exceptional word-of-mouth, reflected in 98% audience scores and 90% critics' approval on Rotten Tomatoes, has driven robust weekday holds and multi-weekend legs around 1.5x, with daily grosses remaining elevated through early August. Industry tracking and comparable summer blockbusters indicate the title will comfortably surpass $900 million within the first month, though the 37% probability on the $800–900 million range accounts for potential softening from competition or audience fatigue in later weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
Le box-office du deuxième week-end de « Spider-Man : Un nouveau jour » sera-t-il compris entre 140 et 150 millions ?
Le total des recettes nationales pour L'Odyssée sera-t-il d'au moins 350 millions d'ici le 31 août ?
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