Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance hinges on its holdover strength after a record $360 million opening and $145 million second frame, the third-biggest ever. With domestic totals already exceeding $700 million and minimal direct competition, the Tom Holland Marvel tentpole benefits from exceptional word-of-mouth and front-loaded audience enthusiasm that has powered it past multiple historical benchmarks set by Avengers: Endgame and The Force Awakens. Analysts currently project a 50–60% drop into the $57–72 million range, creating tight uncertainty around the precise finish as family audiences and repeat viewings compete with typical blockbuster fatigue. Traders are watching daily tracking updates and theater counts for signals that could clarify whether momentum sustains closer to the higher or lower end of estimates ahead of the August 14–16 frame.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 3ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 3ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
<66m 47%
66-68m 43%
68-70m 43%
72 millions ou plus 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
<66m
47%
66-68m
43%
68-70m
43%
70-72m
42%
72 millions ou plus
43%
<66m 47%
66-68m 43%
68-70m 43%
72 millions ou plus 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 août 2026
<66m
$0 Vol.
47%
66-68m
$0 Vol.
43%
68-70m
$0 Vol.
43%
70-72m
$0 Vol.
42%
72 millions ou plus
$0 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance hinges on its holdover strength after a record $360 million opening and $145 million second frame, the third-biggest ever. With domestic totals already exceeding $700 million and minimal direct competition, the Tom Holland Marvel tentpole benefits from exceptional word-of-mouth and front-loaded audience enthusiasm that has powered it past multiple historical benchmarks set by Avengers: Endgame and The Force Awakens. Analysts currently project a 50–60% drop into the $57–72 million range, creating tight uncertainty around the precise finish as family audiences and repeat viewings compete with typical blockbuster fatigue. Traders are watching daily tracking updates and theater counts for signals that could clarify whether momentum sustains closer to the higher or lower end of estimates ahead of the August 14–16 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance hinges on its holdover strength after a record $360 million opening and $145 million second frame, the third-biggest ever. With domestic totals already exceeding $700 million and minimal direct competition, the Tom Holland Marvel tentpole benefits from exceptional word-of-mouth and front-loaded audience enthusiasm that has powered it past multiple historical benchmarks set by Avengers: Endgame and The Force Awakens. Analysts currently project a 50–60% drop into the $57–72 million range, creating tight uncertainty around the precise finish as family audiences and repeat viewings compete with typical blockbuster fatigue. Traders are watching daily tracking updates and theater counts for signals that could clarify whether momentum sustains closer to the higher or lower end of estimates ahead of the August 14–16 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s third-weekend performance hinges on its holdover strength after a record $360 million opening and $145 million second frame, the third-biggest ever. With domestic totals already exceeding $700 million and minimal direct competition, the Tom Holland Marvel tentpole benefits from exceptional word-of-mouth and front-loaded audience enthusiasm that has powered it past multiple historical benchmarks set by Avengers: Endgame and The Force Awakens. Analysts currently project a 50–60% drop into the $57–72 million range, creating tight uncertainty around the precise finish as family audiences and repeat viewings compete with typical blockbuster fatigue. Traders are watching daily tracking updates and theater counts for signals that could clarify whether momentum sustains closer to the higher or lower end of estimates ahead of the August 14–16 frame.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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