The market's overwhelming consensus around the $140-150 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's second weekend stems from its record-shattering $360 million opening and continued momentum, including a historic $42 million Tuesday that pushed the domestic total past $500 million in the first week. Strong critical reception, audience word-of-mouth, and premium format holdovers have supported solid tracking estimates near $143 million, aligning with historical patterns for major MCU titles with broad appeal. An upset into lower bins would require an unexpectedly sharp drop-off from competition or negative reviews, while higher outcomes remain improbable absent exceptional legs. The current weekend's final numbers serve as the key resolution catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour"Spider-Man : Brand New Day" 2ème box-office du week-end (Lower Strikes)
140-150 millions 94%
150-160 millions 5%
130-140 millions 1.4%
<130 M <1%
$111,306 Vol.
$111,306 Vol.
<130 M
<1%
130-140 millions
1%
140-150 millions
94%
150-160 millions
5%
160-170M
<1%
170-180 millions
<1%
180 M+
<1%
140-150 millions 94%
150-160 millions 5%
130-140 millions 1.4%
<130 M <1%
$111,306 Vol.
$111,306 Vol.
<130 M
<1%
130-140 millions
1%
140-150 millions
94%
150-160 millions
5%
160-170M
<1%
170-180 millions
<1%
180 M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming consensus around the $140-150 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's second weekend stems from its record-shattering $360 million opening and continued momentum, including a historic $42 million Tuesday that pushed the domestic total past $500 million in the first week. Strong critical reception, audience word-of-mouth, and premium format holdovers have supported solid tracking estimates near $143 million, aligning with historical patterns for major MCU titles with broad appeal. An upset into lower bins would require an unexpectedly sharp drop-off from competition or negative reviews, while higher outcomes remain improbable absent exceptional legs. The current weekend's final numbers serve as the key resolution catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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