Palantir's (PLTR) share price, recently closing near $186.29 after a post-August 3 earnings surge driven by 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and raised 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $186–$192 ranges. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% amid AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon Maven momentum approaching a $1 billion run rate, while adjusted operating margins reached 62% and net retention hit 157%. Elevated valuations near 159 times earnings, recent CEO and institutional selling, and absence of major catalysts in the final August trading days introduce uncertainty that keeps multiple adjacent bins competitively priced near 44–46% implied probability. Traders appear focused on near-term momentum sustainability versus profit-taking risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$184-$186 46%
$190-$192 45%
$192-$194 43%
$188-$190 43%
<$176
16%
$176-$178
6%
$178-$180
7%
$180-$182
8%
$182-$184
8%
$184-$186
46%
$186-$188
41%
$188-$190
43%
$190-$192
45%
$192-$194
43%
>$194
42%
$184-$186 46%
$190-$192 45%
$192-$194 43%
$188-$190 43%
<$176
16%
$176-$178
6%
$178-$180
7%
$180-$182
8%
$182-$184
8%
$184-$186
46%
$186-$188
41%
$188-$190
43%
$190-$192
45%
$192-$194
43%
>$194
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Palantir's (PLTR) share price, recently closing near $186.29 after a post-August 3 earnings surge driven by 93% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.935 billion and raised 2026 guidance implying 82% expansion, underpins the tight clustering of Polymarket probabilities around the $186–$192 ranges. U.S. commercial revenue jumped 149% amid AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon Maven momentum approaching a $1 billion run rate, while adjusted operating margins reached 62% and net retention hit 157%. Elevated valuations near 159 times earnings, recent CEO and institutional selling, and absence of major catalysts in the final August trading days introduce uncertainty that keeps multiple adjacent bins competitively priced near 44–46% implied probability. Traders appear focused on near-term momentum sustainability versus profit-taking risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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