MrBeast’s latest long-form video, released September 19 after months of buildup around its $10 million production cost and “biggest ever” positioning, is driving the 42–45 million bracket to an 85.5% implied probability for first-48-hour views. Strong early momentum from subscriber notifications, social amplification, and MrBeast’s consistent track record of 30–50 million day-two totals on major drops anchors trader consensus here, even as charity-focused content sometimes trails pure spectacle videos. The market reflects measured expectations that day-two velocity will push the total into the favored range without reaching outlier territory, with limited room for late surges or shortfalls given typical YouTube decay patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour# de vues de la vidéo MrBeast au jour 2 ?
42–45M 87%
45–48M 9%
39–42M 4.7%
48–51M 1.7%
$17,428 Vol.
$17,428 Vol.
<36M
<1%
36–39M
<1%
39–42M
5%
42–45M
87%
45–48M
9%
48–51M
2%
51M+
<1%
42–45M 87%
45–48M 9%
39–42M 4.7%
48–51M 1.7%
$17,428 Vol.
$17,428 Vol.
<36M
<1%
36–39M
<1%
39–42M
5%
42–45M
87%
45–48M
9%
48–51M
2%
51M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 10:48 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers only to the video "I Built A City To Save Kids From Illegal Labor" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v9QtM6qnG50).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest long-form video, released September 19 after months of buildup around its $10 million production cost and “biggest ever” positioning, is driving the 42–45 million bracket to an 85.5% implied probability for first-48-hour views. Strong early momentum from subscriber notifications, social amplification, and MrBeast’s consistent track record of 30–50 million day-two totals on major drops anchors trader consensus here, even as charity-focused content sometimes trails pure spectacle videos. The market reflects measured expectations that day-two velocity will push the total into the favored range without reaching outlier territory, with limited room for late surges or shortfalls given typical YouTube decay patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes